Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: FC Vsetin vs SK Hranice

Team pages: FC Vsetin · SK Hranice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

FC Vsetin1.39

SK Hranice1.4

1X2

37% 26% 37%

FC Vsetin Draw SK Hranice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vsetin 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLLLLL

SK Hranice 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWLLL

Head-to-head

FC Vsetin 3–3 SK Hranice (6 last)

SK Hranice0-2FC Vsetin
FC Vsetin2-3SK Hranice
FC Vsetin2-1SK Hranice
SK Hranice0-1FC Vsetin
FC Vsetin1-3SK Hranice
FC Vsetin0-2SK Hranice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vsetin 1440 · SK Hranice 1502

	FC Vsetin	Draw	SK Hranice
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Hranice (rating 1440 vs 1502).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vsetin	SK Hranice
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.5	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.60

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:18 +46’	2.40	3.60	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vsetin 3–0–3 SK Hranice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Vsetin
15/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Vsetin	2-3 HT 0-2	SK Hranice
19/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vsetin	2-1 HT 0-1	SK Hranice
15/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Hranice	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Vsetin
10/05/22 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vsetin	1-3 HT 0-1	SK Hranice
26/06/20 Europe Friendlies	FC Vsetin	0-2 HT 0-1	SK Hranice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vsetin	SK Hranice
MFK Karvina B	0-3 L	0-2 L
MFK Vitkovice	1-4 L	2-1 W
FC Trinity Zlin B	0-2 L	1-0 W
SK Artis Brno B	0-1 L	1-1 D
FK Blansko	0-2 L	3-1 W
Slovacko II	1-0 W	1-1 D
FK Hodonin	0-2 L	1-0 W
SFK Vrchovina	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Hranice (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vsetin

WWDLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
31/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	7	5	L
25/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
17/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
10/10	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
03/10	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
26/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
19/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
13/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
05/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W

SK Hranice

WWDWDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-4	2	5	L
31/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-5	3	3	L
25/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
16/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
11/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
02/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
26/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	8	6	W
18/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
12/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
05/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vsetin vs SK Hranice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vsetin win (37%). Probabilities: FC Vsetin 37%, draw 26%, SK Hranice 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vsetin vs SK Hranice?

The model expects 2.79 goals (FC Vsetin 1.39 · SK Hranice 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vsetin vs SK Hranice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.