Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 29/08, 16:30

Prediction: FK Hodonin vs MFK Vitkovice

Team pages: FK Hodonin · MFK Vitkovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

FK Hodonin2.11

MFK Vitkovice1.22

1X2

57% 22% 21%

FK Hodonin Draw MFK Vitkovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Hodonin 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLLDLD

MFK Vitkovice 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLWWLDDL

Head-to-head

FK Hodonin 4–1 MFK Vitkovice (5 last)

FK Hodonin1-2MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-4FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin2-0MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice0-1FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin1-0MFK Vitkovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Hodonin 1481 · MFK Vitkovice 1503

	FK Hodonin	Draw	MFK Vitkovice
Our model	57%	23%	21%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Hodonin: 4-0-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Hodonin	MFK Vitkovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.1	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.4	3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +3’	1.57	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Hodonin 4–0–1 MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	1-2 HT 0-1	MFK Vitkovice
01/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-4 HT 1-3	FK Hodonin
11/03/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	2-0 HT 1-0	MFK Vitkovice
13/08/22 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Hodonin
08/08/17 Czechia Cup	FK Hodonin	1-0 HT 1-0	MFK Vitkovice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sigma Olomouc B	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
2	SK Artis Brno B	4	3	1	0	5	0	10
3	TJ Unie Hlubina	4	3	0	1	17	9	9
4	SK Unicov	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
5	Slovacko II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
6	MFK Karvina B	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Frydek Mistek	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
8	FC Trinity Zlin B	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
9	SFK Vrchovina	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
10	FC Brno II	4	2	1	1	8	12	7
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
12	SK Hranice	4	1	0	3	6	3	3
13	FK Hodonin	4	0	2	2	5	8	2
14	MFK Vitkovice	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
15	FK Blansko	4	0	2	2	7	12	2
16	MFK Havirov	4	0	2	2	3	10	2
17	Polanka	4	0	1	3	2	5	1
18	FC Vsetin	4	0	0	4	3	13	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Hodonin	MFK Vitkovice
FK Blansko	3-3 D	1-1 D
Slovacko II	1-3 L	5-1 W
Polanka	4-3 W	0-0 D
Frydek Mistek	1-1 D	2-2 D
Sigma Olomouc B	1-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Hodonin (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Hodonin

WWDWLLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
15/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
08/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	3	6	D
01/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
13/06	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
06/06	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
03/06	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	4-2	4-3	4	3	W
29/05	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
23/05	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
20/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	10	6	W

MFK Vitkovice

DDDLWWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
16/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
08/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	3	D
01/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	11	L
11/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	5-1	12	1	W
06/06	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
17/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
09/05	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Hodonin vs MFK Vitkovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Hodonin win (57%). Probabilities: FK Hodonin 57%, draw 22%, MFK Vitkovice 21%.

How many goals are expected in FK Hodonin vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model expects 3.33 goals (FK Hodonin 2.11 · MFK Vitkovice 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Hodonin vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.