Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 06/09, 11:00

Prediction: FK Teplice B vs Pardubice B

Team pages: FK Teplice B · Pardubice B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

FK Teplice B1.92

Pardubice B1.58

1X2

45% 24% 31%

FK Teplice B Draw Pardubice B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Teplice B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWLLWWW

Pardubice B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLWLWW

Head-to-head

FK Teplice B 3–1–2 Pardubice B (6 last)

FK Teplice B2-1Pardubice B
Pardubice B2-3FK Teplice B
FK Teplice B0-0Pardubice B
Pardubice B2-3FK Teplice B
Pardubice B3-1FK Teplice B
FK Teplice B1-3Pardubice B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Teplice B 1541 · Pardubice B 1540

	FK Teplice B	Draw	Pardubice B
Our model	45%	24%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Teplice B: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Teplice B	Pardubice B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	2.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 4.9	3.3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:59 +9’	2.00	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Teplice B 3–1–2 Pardubice B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Teplice B	2-1 HT 1-0	Pardubice B
31/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	2-3 HT 0-2	FK Teplice B
07/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Teplice B	0-0 HT 0-0	Pardubice B
23/10/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	2-3 HT 1-2	FK Teplice B
27/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	3-1 HT 2-1	FK Teplice B
30/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Teplice B	1-3 HT 0-1	Pardubice B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	6	5	1	0	11	0	16
2	Frydek Mistek	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
3	FC Brno II	6	4	1	1	16	13	13
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	6	4	0	2	21	13	12
5	Sigma Olomouc B	6	4	0	2	13	6	12
6	SK Unicov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
7	Slovacko II	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
9	SFK Vrchovina	6	3	1	2	6	8	10
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	MFK Vitkovice	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
12	MFK Karvina B	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
13	SK Hranice	6	2	0	4	8	7	6
14	FK Hodonin	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	FK Blansko	6	0	3	3	8	17	3
16	Polanka	6	0	2	4	3	7	2
17	MFK Havirov	6	0	2	4	4	15	2
18	FC Vsetin	6	0	0	6	4	20	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Teplice B	Pardubice B
Slovan Liberec B	4-0 W	2-5 L
Zenit Caslav	1-0 W	7-0 W
Banik Most-Sous	0-5 L	1-0 W
Arsenal Ceska Lipa	0-4 L	2-3 L
FK Jablonec B	1-1 D	3-2 W
Velke Hamry	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pardubice B (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Teplice B

WLDDWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	3	3	W
23/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	5-2	8	4	W
07/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-5	5	3	L
03/06	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	2	1	L
30/05	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
24/05	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
20/05	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
17/05	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	7	5	L
10/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W

Pardubice B

WLDWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
16/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
09/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
06/06	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
31/05	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-5	10	6	L
27/05	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	11	7	L
24/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	7	4	W
17/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
06/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
01/05	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Teplice B vs Pardubice B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Teplice B win (45%). Probabilities: FK Teplice B 45%, draw 24%, Pardubice B 31%.

How many goals are expected in FK Teplice B vs Pardubice B?

The model expects 3.5 goals (FK Teplice B 1.92 · Pardubice B 1.58), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Teplice B vs Pardubice B?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.