Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 28/08, 17:30

Prediction: Frydek Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B

Team pages: Frydek Mistek · Sigma Olomouc B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Frydek Mistek1.31

Sigma Olomouc B1.44

1X2

34% 26% 40%

Frydek Mistek Draw Sigma Olomouc B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Frydek Mistek 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDDDWDWL

Sigma Olomouc B 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Frydek Mistek 3–3 Sigma Olomouc B (6 last)

Sigma Olomouc B0-1Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek1-0Sigma Olomouc B
Sigma Olomouc B3-0Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek0-3Sigma Olomouc B
Sigma Olomouc B7-0Frydek Mistek
Sigma Olomouc B0-2Frydek Mistek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek 1527 · Sigma Olomouc B 1568

	Frydek Mistek	Draw	Sigma Olomouc B
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	35%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sigma Olomouc B (rating 1527 vs 1568).
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydek Mistek	Sigma Olomouc B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	3.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	5.3 / 6.6	2.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.75

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:21 +2’	2.55	3.75	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Frydek Mistek 3–0–3 Sigma Olomouc B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Sigma Olomouc B	0-1 HT 0-1	Frydek Mistek
29/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	1-0 HT 0-0	Sigma Olomouc B
28/01/23 Club Friendly List	Sigma Olomouc B	3-0 HT 1-0	Frydek Mistek
09/04/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	0-3 HT 0-1	Sigma Olomouc B
04/09/21 Czechia 3. Liga	Sigma Olomouc B	7-0 HT 4-0	Frydek Mistek
08/08/20 Czechia 3. Liga	Sigma Olomouc B	0-2 HT 0-1	Frydek Mistek

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sigma Olomouc B	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
2	SK Artis Brno B	4	3	1	0	5	0	10
3	TJ Unie Hlubina	4	3	0	1	17	9	9
4	SK Unicov	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
5	Slovacko II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
6	MFK Karvina B	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Frydek Mistek	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
8	FC Trinity Zlin B	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
9	SFK Vrchovina	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
10	FC Brno II	4	2	1	1	8	12	7
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
12	SK Hranice	4	1	0	3	6	3	3
13	FK Hodonin	4	0	2	2	5	8	2
14	MFK Vitkovice	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
15	FK Blansko	4	0	2	2	7	12	2
16	MFK Havirov	4	0	2	2	3	10	2
17	Polanka	4	0	1	3	2	5	1
18	FC Vsetin	4	0	0	4	3	13	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydek Mistek	Sigma Olomouc B
TJ Unie Hlubina	2-3 L	3-2 W
FC Vsetin	2-0 W	5-0 W
SK Hranice	1-0 W	4-0 W
Slovacko II	2-2 D	2-1 W
FK Hodonin	1-1 D	0-1 L
Trinec	0-2 L	3-1 W
FK Blansko	2-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sigma Olomouc B (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frydek Mistek

WDLDDDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
15/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	15	3	W
09/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
31/07	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	0	8	W
12/06	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
06/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	1	D
29/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
23/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
20/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W

Sigma Olomouc B

DLWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
15/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-2	2	5	W
09/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
02/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	12	4	W
10/06	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-1	7	2	W
05/06	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
31/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	5-0	3	1	W
24/05	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
20/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
17/05	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sigma Olomouc B win (40%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek 34%, draw 26%, Sigma Olomouc B 40%.

How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Frydek Mistek 1.31 · Sigma Olomouc B 1.44), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.