Football · Japan Football League · 24/10, 06:00
Prediction: Reinmeer Aomori vs Verspah Oita
Team pages: Reinmeer Aomori · Verspah Oita
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Reinmeer Aomori1.37
Verspah Oita1.21
1X2
Reinmeer Aomori
Draw
Verspah Oita
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Reinmeer Aomori
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Verspah Oita
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Reinmeer Aomori
1–2–3
Verspah Oita
(6 last)
- Reinmeer Aomori0-3Verspah Oita
- Verspah Oita1-0Reinmeer Aomori
- Verspah Oita0-0Reinmeer Aomori
- Verspah Oita0-0Reinmeer Aomori
- Verspah Oita0-1Reinmeer Aomori
- Verspah Oita1-0Reinmeer Aomori
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reinmeer Aomori 1532 · Verspah Oita 1544
| Reinmeer Aomori | Draw | Verspah Oita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Verspah Oita: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reinmeer Aomori | Verspah Oita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reinmeer Aomori 1–2–3 Verspah Oita
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/25 Japan Football League | Reinmeer Aomori | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Verspah Oita |
| 15/06/25 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 24/11/24 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 01/07/23 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 11/09/22 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 12/09/21 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Reinmeer Aomori | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Honda FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Vonds Ichihara | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Verspah Oita | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Veertien Mie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Azul Claro Numazu | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Okinawa SV | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | YSCC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 10 | Minebea Mitsumi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 11 | Grulla Morioka FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | J-Lease FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reinmeer Aomori | Verspah Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Criacao Shinjuku | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| J-Lease FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Grulla Morioka FC | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Verspah Oita (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reinmeer Aomori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/11 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 16/11 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Verspah Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 23/11 | Atletico Suzuka Club Japan Football League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/11 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reinmeer Aomori vs Verspah Oita?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Reinmeer Aomori win (40%). Probabilities: Reinmeer Aomori 40%, draw 28%, Verspah Oita 32%.
How many goals are expected in Reinmeer Aomori vs Verspah Oita?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Reinmeer Aomori 1.37 · Verspah Oita 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Reinmeer Aomori vs Verspah Oita?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.