Football · Japan Football League · 24/10, 06:00
Prediction: Criacao Shinjuku vs Minebea Mitsumi
Team pages: Criacao Shinjuku · Minebea Mitsumi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Criacao Shinjuku1.42
Minebea Mitsumi0.88
1X2
Criacao Shinjuku
Draw
Minebea Mitsumi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Criacao Shinjuku
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Minebea Mitsumi
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Criacao Shinjuku
2–3–1
Minebea Mitsumi
(6 last)
- Minebea Mitsumi1-1Criacao Shinjuku
- Criacao Shinjuku0-0Minebea Mitsumi
- Criacao Shinjuku2-1Minebea Mitsumi
- Minebea Mitsumi0-0Criacao Shinjuku
- Criacao Shinjuku4-1Minebea Mitsumi
- Minebea Mitsumi2-1Criacao Shinjuku
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Criacao Shinjuku 1557 · Minebea Mitsumi 1463
| Criacao Shinjuku | Draw | Minebea Mitsumi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Criacao Shinjuku (rating 1557 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Criacao Shinjuku: 2-3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Criacao Shinjuku | Minebea Mitsumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.1 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Criacao Shinjuku 2–3–1 Minebea Mitsumi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 Japan Football League | Minebea Mitsumi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Criacao Shinjuku |
| 29/06/25 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Minebea Mitsumi |
| 16/11/24 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Minebea Mitsumi |
| 16/06/24 Japan Football League | Minebea Mitsumi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
| 11/11/23 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Minebea Mitsumi |
| 15/04/23 Japan Football League | Minebea Mitsumi | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Reinmeer Aomori | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Honda FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Vonds Ichihara | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Verspah Oita | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Veertien Mie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Azul Claro Numazu | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Okinawa SV | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | YSCC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 10 | Minebea Mitsumi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 11 | Grulla Morioka FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | J-Lease FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Criacao Shinjuku | Minebea Mitsumi |
|---|---|---|
| Verspah Oita | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| YSCC | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Okinawa SV | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Grulla Morioka FC | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Criacao Shinjuku (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Criacao Shinjuku
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | YSCC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/11 | Asuka FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/11 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Minebea Mitsumi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26/09 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/11 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/11 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Criacao Shinjuku vs Minebea Mitsumi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Criacao Shinjuku win (49%). Probabilities: Criacao Shinjuku 49%, draw 28%, Minebea Mitsumi 23%.
How many goals are expected in Criacao Shinjuku vs Minebea Mitsumi?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Criacao Shinjuku 1.42 · Minebea Mitsumi 0.88), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Criacao Shinjuku vs Minebea Mitsumi?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.