Football · Japan Football League · 24/10, 11:00
Prediction: Okinawa SV vs Honda FC
Team pages: Okinawa SV · Honda FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Okinawa SV1.18
Honda FC1.24
1X2
Okinawa SV
Draw
Honda FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Okinawa SV
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Honda FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Okinawa SV
1–1–4
Honda FC
(6 last)
- Okinawa SV1-0Honda FC
- Honda FC3-1Okinawa SV
- Okinawa SV0-0Honda FC
- Okinawa SV3-4Honda FC
- Honda FC3-0Okinawa SV
- Okinawa SV0-5Honda FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Okinawa SV 1484 · Honda FC 1521
| Okinawa SV | Draw | Honda FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Honda FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Okinawa SV | Honda FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.4 | 3.3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Okinawa SV 1–1–4 Honda FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Japan JFL Cup | Okinawa SV | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Honda FC |
| 01/11/25 Japan Football League | Honda FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Okinawa SV |
| 20/04/25 Japan Football League | Okinawa SV | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Honda FC |
| 15/09/24 Japan Football League | Okinawa SV | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Honda FC |
| 01/06/24 Japan Football League | Honda FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Okinawa SV |
| 16/07/23 Japan Football League | Okinawa SV | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Honda FC |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Reinmeer Aomori | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Honda FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Vonds Ichihara | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Verspah Oita | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Veertien Mie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Azul Claro Numazu | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Okinawa SV | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | YSCC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 10 | Minebea Mitsumi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 11 | Grulla Morioka FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | J-Lease FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Okinawa SV | Honda FC |
|---|---|---|
| Vonds Ichihara | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| J-Lease FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Briobecca Urayasu SC | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Reinmeer Aomori | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Minebea Mitsumi | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Veertien Mie | 0-6 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Honda FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Okinawa SV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 10/10 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21/09 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 31/08 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/11 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/11 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Honda FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 03/10 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 27/09 | YSCC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/11 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 16/11 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Okinawa SV vs Honda FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Honda FC win (37%). Probabilities: Okinawa SV 34%, draw 29%, Honda FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Okinawa SV vs Honda FC?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Okinawa SV 1.18 · Honda FC 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Okinawa SV vs Honda FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.