Football · Panama LPF · 25/07, 03:30

Prediction: CD Arabe Unido vs Plaza Amador

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
CD Arabe Unido0.93
Plaza Amador1.38
1X2
25% 29% 47%
CD Arabe Unido Draw Plaza Amador
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Arabe Unido 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWWWLDDL
Plaza Amador 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDWDWD
Head-to-head
CD Arabe Unido 1–5 Plaza Amador (6 last)
  • CD Arabe Unido0-3Plaza Amador
  • Plaza Amador1-0CD Arabe Unido
  • Plaza Amador0-2CD Arabe Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido 1493 · Plaza Amador 1576
CD Arabe UnidoDrawPlaza Amador
Our model24%30%46%
Market25%28%47%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador (rating 1493 vs 1576).
  • H2H favours Plaza Amador: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Arabe UnidoPlaza Amador
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.51.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.13 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.26.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido 105 Plaza Amador

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Panama LPF
CD Arabe Unido0-3
HT 0-0
Plaza Amador
13/02/26
Panama LPF
Plaza Amador1-0
HT 1-0
CD Arabe Unido
12/10/25
Panama LPF
Plaza Amador0-2
HT 0-1
CD Arabe Unido
20/07/25
Panama LPF
CD Arabe Unido1-4
HT 0-1
Plaza Amador
27/04/25
Panama LPF
CD Arabe Unido0-1
HT 0-0
Plaza Amador
26/01/25
Panama LPF
Plaza Amador2-1
HT 1-1
CD Arabe Unido

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Sporting San Miguelito 000 000
1 Alianza FC Panama 000 000
1 CD Arabe Unido 000 000
1 Plaza Amador 000 000
1 Tauro FC 000 000
1 UMECIT 000 000

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Arabe UnidoPlaza Amador
Alianza FC Panama 2-2 D 2-2 D
UMECIT 1-1 D 3-0 W
Tauro FC 0-4 L 1-0 W
Sporting San Miguelito 1-0 W 3-0 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera 2-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Arabe Unido

LLWWWWLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
0-0 0-3 26 L
26/04 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
0-2 2-2 46 D
19/04 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 44 D
11/04 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
0-0 0-4 57 L
06/04 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
0-0 1-0 55 W
31/03 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
1-0 2-0 69 W
22/03 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
0-0 1-0 46 W
14/03 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
0-0 1-0 35 W
10/03 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
1-2 2-3 48 L
01/03 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
1-1 1-2 L

Plaza Amador

WWWDWDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/05 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
1-1 2-2 96 D
16/05 UMECIT
Panama LPF
1-0 3-0 19 W
10/05 UMECIT
Panama LPF
1-1 2-2 D
03/05 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
0-0 3-0 26 W
26/04 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-0 2-2 107 D
20/04 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
2-0 3-0 67 W
12/04 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
0-1 1-1 63 D
05/04 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
0-0 1-0 28 W
29/03 Union Cocle
Panama LPF
0-0 1-0 95 W
22/03 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
0-0 1-0 611 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido vs Plaza Amador?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Amador win (47%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido 25%, draw 29%, Plaza Amador 47%.

How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido vs Plaza Amador?

The model expects 2.31 goals (CD Arabe Unido 0.93 · Plaza Amador 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido vs Plaza Amador?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.