Prediction: Alianza FC Panama vs UMECIT
- UMECIT1-1Alianza FC Panama
- Alianza FC Panama2-1UMECIT
- UMECIT1-3Alianza FC Panama
| Alianza FC Panama | Draw | UMECIT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alianza FC Panama (rating 1552 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Alianza FC Panama: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alianza FC Panama | UMECIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 6.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza FC Panama 3–2–1 UMECIT
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Panama LPF | UMECIT | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Alianza FC Panama |
| 31/01/26 Panama LPF | Alianza FC Panama | 2-1 HT 1-1 | UMECIT |
| 09/11/25 Panama LPF | UMECIT | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Alianza FC Panama |
| 19/08/25 Panama LPF | Alianza FC Panama | 2-0 HT 1-0 | UMECIT |
| 25/02/25 Panama LPF | Alianza FC Panama | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UMECIT |
| 15/09/24 Panama LPF | UMECIT | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Alianza FC Panama |
Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting San Miguelito | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alianza FC Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Arabe Unido | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tauro FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UMECIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alianza FC Panama | UMECIT |
|---|---|---|
| Plaza Amador | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Veraguas CD | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Sporting San Miguelito | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| CD Arabe Unido | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Tauro FC | 1-1 D | 5-2 W |
| Herrera FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alianza FC Panama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Plaza Amador Panama LPF |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Veraguas CD Panama LPF |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Veraguas CD Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Tauro FC Panama LPF |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Plaza Amador Panama LPF |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | UMECIT Panama LPF |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 29/03 | Herrera FC Panama LPF |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
UMECIT
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Plaza Amador Panama LPF |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Plaza Amador Panama LPF |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/05 | Union Cocle Panama LPF |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Tauro FC Panama LPF |
2-2 | 5-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Plaza Amador Panama LPF |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 05/04 | Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 10 | D |
| 29/03 | Veraguas CD Panama LPF |
0-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/03 | Herrera FC Panama LPF |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alianza FC Panama vs UMECIT?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza FC Panama win (42%). Probabilities: Alianza FC Panama 42%, draw 28%, UMECIT 30%.
How many goals are expected in Alianza FC Panama vs UMECIT?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Alianza FC Panama 1.59 · UMECIT 1.3), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alianza FC Panama vs UMECIT?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.