Prediction: Herrera FC vs Union Cocle
- Union Cocle4-0Herrera FC
- Herrera FC0-1Union Cocle
| Herrera FC | Draw | Union Cocle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 31% | 50% |
| Market | 21% | 27% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Cocle (rating 1419 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Union Cocle: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Herrera FC | Union Cocle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrera FC 0–0–2 Union Cocle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Panama LPF | Union Cocle | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Herrera FC |
| 12/02/26 Panama LPF | Herrera FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union Cocle |
Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Arabe Unido | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza FC Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Herrera FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Union Cocle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Herrera FC | Union Cocle |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Independiente de la Chorrera | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Veraguas CD | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Universitario | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Alianza FC Panama | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| UMECIT | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sporting San Miguelito | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 5 L | 1 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Cocle (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Herrera FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Union Cocle Panama LPF |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | San Francisco FC Panama LPF |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Veraguas CD Panama LPF |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 18 | L |
| 07/04 | CD Universitario Panama LPF |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | UMECIT Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/03 | Tauro FC Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/03 | CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Union Cocle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05 | UMECIT Panama LPF |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Herrera FC Panama LPF |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Veraguas CD Panama LPF |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | San Francisco FC Panama LPF |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | CD Universitario Panama LPF |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 05/04 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | Plaza Amador Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/03 | UMECIT Panama LPF |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/03 | Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Herrera FC vs Union Cocle?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Cocle win (51%). Probabilities: Herrera FC 20%, draw 29%, Union Cocle 51%.
How many goals are expected in Herrera FC vs Union Cocle?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Herrera FC 0.74 · Union Cocle 1.34), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Herrera FC vs Union Cocle?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.