Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 31/10, 10:15

Prediction: SK Petrin Plzen vs Slavoj Cesky Krumlov

Team pages: SK Petrin Plzen · Slavoj Cesky Krumlov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

SK Petrin Plzen2.76

Slavoj Cesky Krumlov1.32

1X2

67% 17% 15%

SK Petrin Plzen Draw Slavoj Cesky Krumlov

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Petrin Plzen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Slavoj Cesky Krumlov 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWWLD

Head-to-head

SK Petrin Plzen 2–0 Slavoj Cesky Krumlov (2 last)

SK Petrin Plzen4-1Slavoj Cesky Krumlov
Slavoj Cesky Krumlov1-2SK Petrin Plzen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Petrin Plzen 1550 · Slavoj Cesky Krumlov 1489

	SK Petrin Plzen	Draw	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov
Our model	67%	18%	15%
Market	67%	17%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Petrin Plzen (rating 1550 vs 1489).
H2H favours SK Petrin Plzen: 2-0-0.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Petrin Plzen	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.7	1.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 7.5	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.25

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:40 +30’	1.33	5.25	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Petrin Plzen 2–0–0 Slavoj Cesky Krumlov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Petrin Plzen	4-1 HT 1-1	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov
24/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov	1-2 HT 1-2	SK Petrin Plzen

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	12	10	0	2	40	15	30
2	Kravare	12	8	3	1	28	13	27
3	FC Vratimov	12	9	0	3	25	17	27
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	SK Zabreh	12	5	3	4	16	14	18
8	Jiskra Rymarov	12	5	2	5	27	20	17
9	SK Stonava	12	5	2	5	22	22	17
10	TJ Novy Jicin	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
11	Pusta Polom	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Frydek Mistek B	12	4	1	7	23	27	13
13	FK Sumperk	12	2	5	5	15	18	11
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	12	2	3	7	9	26	9
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	12	1	0	11	13	44	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Petrin Plzen	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov
FK Komarov	0-4 L	0-3 L
FC Rokycany	2-1 W	4-0 W
SK Strakonice	4-1 W	3-2 W
Spartak Pribram	4-3 W	1-3 L
FK Okula Nyrsko	4-0 W	3-0 W
FC Krimice	1-4 L	2-4 L
SK Senco Doubravka	4-2 W	2-3 L
FC Milevsko	3-0 W	2-1 W
FC Taborsko B	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: SK Petrin Plzen (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Petrin Plzen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-4	6	3	L
17/10	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	1	W
11/10	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-1	12	0	W
03/10	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-3	6	7	W
26/09	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/09	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	8	4	L
12/09	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
30/08	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
22/08	Spartak Sobeslav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	7	3	W

Slavoj Cesky Krumlov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
10/10	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
03/10	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	4	2	W
27/09	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	9	1	W
19/09	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
29/08	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Petrin Plzen vs Slavoj Cesky Krumlov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Petrin Plzen win (67%). Probabilities: SK Petrin Plzen 67%, draw 17%, Slavoj Cesky Krumlov 15%.

How many goals are expected in SK Petrin Plzen vs Slavoj Cesky Krumlov?

The model expects 4.08 goals (SK Petrin Plzen 2.76 · Slavoj Cesky Krumlov 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Petrin Plzen vs Slavoj Cesky Krumlov?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.