Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 31/10, 10:15

Prediction: SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs Chomutov

Team pages: SK Ujezd Praha 4 · Chomutov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

SK Ujezd Praha 41.69

Chomutov1.69

1X2

38% 24% 38%

SK Ujezd Praha 4 Draw Chomutov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Ujezd Praha 4 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDWWDW

Chomutov 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLDWW

Head-to-head

SK Ujezd Praha 4 2–3 Chomutov (5 last)

Chomutov3-2SK Ujezd Praha 4
SK Ujezd Praha 43-1Chomutov
SK Ujezd Praha 40-1Chomutov
Chomutov3-1SK Ujezd Praha 4
SK Ujezd Praha 42-1Chomutov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Ujezd Praha 4 1542 · Chomutov 1569

	SK Ujezd Praha 4	Draw	Chomutov
Our model	38%	25%	38%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chomutov: 3-0-2.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Ujezd Praha 4	Chomutov
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.8	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.6	3.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.80

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:53 +16’	2.35	3.80	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Ujezd Praha 4 2–0–3 Chomutov

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Chomutov	3-2 HT 2-2	SK Ujezd Praha 4
13/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	3-1 HT 3-0	Chomutov
16/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	0-1 HT 0-0	Chomutov
18/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Chomutov	3-1 HT 2-0	SK Ujezd Praha 4
10/09/22 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	2-1 HT 1-0	Chomutov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	12	10	0	2	40	15	30
2	Kravare	12	8	3	1	28	13	27
3	FC Vratimov	12	9	0	3	25	17	27
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	SK Zabreh	12	5	3	4	16	14	18
8	Jiskra Rymarov	12	5	2	5	27	20	17
9	SK Stonava	12	5	2	5	22	22	17
10	TJ Novy Jicin	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
11	Pusta Polom	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Frydek Mistek B	12	4	1	7	23	27	13
13	FK Sumperk	12	2	5	5	15	18	11
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	12	2	3	7	9	26	9
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	12	1	0	11	13	44	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Ujezd Praha 4	Chomutov
FK Usti nad Labem B	1-1 D	5-0 W
FK Brandys nad Labem	2-1 W	1-0 W
Sokol Hostoun	0-2 L	3-1 W
FC Tempo Prague	2-1 W	2-2 D
FK Ostrov	3-2 W	1-2 L
Slavia Karlovy Vary	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chomutov (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Ujezd Praha 4

LWWLWDWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	3-2	8	5	W
17/10	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	9	5	D
10/10	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-2	6	5	W
03/10	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	2	9	W
26/09	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	9	10	D
19/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
05/09	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
29/08	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	6	11	W
22/08	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	4	L

Chomutov

WWWLWWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
18/10	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-1	5	6	W
10/10	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/09	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
19/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	10	5	W
12/09	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
05/09	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	6	W
29/08	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	7	0	W
21/08	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs Chomutov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Ujezd Praha 4 win (38%). Probabilities: SK Ujezd Praha 4 38%, draw 24%, Chomutov 38%.

How many goals are expected in SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs Chomutov?

The model expects 3.38 goals (SK Ujezd Praha 4 1.69 · Chomutov 1.69), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs Chomutov?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.