Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 31/10, 10:30

Prediction: FK Prepere vs SK Sparta Kolin

Team pages: FK Prepere · SK Sparta Kolin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

FK Prepere2.56

SK Sparta Kolin1.27

1X2

65% 18% 17%

FK Prepere Draw SK Sparta Kolin

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Prepere 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWL

SK Sparta Kolin 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLLWLL

Head-to-head

FK Prepere 2–3 SK Sparta Kolin (5 last)

FK Prepere2-0SK Sparta Kolin
SK Sparta Kolin6-1FK Prepere
SK Sparta Kolin2-1FK Prepere
SK Sparta Kolin2-1FK Prepere
FK Prepere3-1SK Sparta Kolin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Prepere 1561 · SK Sparta Kolin 1484

	FK Prepere	Draw	SK Sparta Kolin
Our model	64%	19%	17%
Market	65%	18%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Prepere (rating 1561 vs 1484).
H2H favours SK Sparta Kolin: 3-0-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Prepere	SK Sparta Kolin
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.9	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.38

X5.00

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:58 +14’	1.38	5.00	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Prepere 2–0–3 SK Sparta Kolin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Prepere	2-0 HT 1-0	SK Sparta Kolin
22/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sparta Kolin	6-1 HT 3-1	FK Prepere
17/05/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sparta Kolin	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Prepere
03/05/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sparta Kolin	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Prepere
17/09/22 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Prepere	3-1 HT 1-1	SK Sparta Kolin

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	12	10	0	2	40	15	30
2	Kravare	12	8	3	1	28	13	27
3	FC Vratimov	12	9	0	3	25	17	27
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	SK Zabreh	12	5	3	4	16	14	18
8	Jiskra Rymarov	12	5	2	5	27	20	17
9	SK Stonava	12	5	2	5	22	22	17
10	TJ Novy Jicin	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
11	Pusta Polom	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Frydek Mistek B	12	4	1	7	23	27	13
13	FK Sumperk	12	2	5	5	15	18	11
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	12	2	3	7	9	26	9
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	12	1	0	11	13	44	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Prepere	SK Sparta Kolin
FK Trutnov	0-3 L	0-1 L
Usti N Orlici	1-0 W	1-2 L
Cechie Vykan	5-0 W	3-2 W
TJ Svitavy	3-1 W	3-1 W
Dvur Kralove	0-1 L	2-2 D
Letohrad	8-1 W	1-2 L
MFK Chrudim B	2-1 W	5-1 W
Turnov	5-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Prepere (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Prepere

WWWWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
10/10	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
03/10	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	7	2	W
27/09	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
19/09	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-0	3	3	W
12/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	6-0	8-1	11	0	W
29/08	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
22/08	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	5-2	6	4	W

SK Sparta Kolin

DLWWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
17/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-1	11	1	W
04/10	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	2	5	L
27/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
19/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	3-2	4	3	W
13/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
06/09	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
30/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	2	3	L
23/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	1	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Prepere vs SK Sparta Kolin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Prepere win (65%). Probabilities: FK Prepere 65%, draw 18%, SK Sparta Kolin 17%.

How many goals are expected in FK Prepere vs SK Sparta Kolin?

The model expects 3.84 goals (FK Prepere 2.56 · SK Sparta Kolin 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Prepere vs SK Sparta Kolin?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.