Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 31/10, 14:00
Prediction: MFK Chrudim B vs Hlinsko
Team pages: MFK Chrudim B · Hlinsko
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.31Total
MFK Chrudim B1.78
Hlinsko2.53
1X2
MFK Chrudim B
Draw
Hlinsko
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Chrudim B
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Hlinsko
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MFK Chrudim B
4–1–1
Hlinsko
(6 last)
- MFK Chrudim B5-0Hlinsko
- Hlinsko1-2MFK Chrudim B
- MFK Chrudim B2-0Hlinsko
- Hlinsko1-1MFK Chrudim B
- MFK Chrudim B3-1Hlinsko
- Hlinsko1-0MFK Chrudim B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MFK Chrudim B 1407 · Hlinsko 1438
| MFK Chrudim B | Draw | Hlinsko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| Market | 26% | 20% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.31 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours MFK Chrudim B: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MFK Chrudim B | Hlinsko | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 1.7 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Chrudim B 4–1–1 Hlinsko
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Chrudim B | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Hlinsko |
| 11/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga | Hlinsko | 1-2 HT 0-1 | MFK Chrudim B |
| 10/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Chrudim B | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hlinsko |
| 13/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga | Hlinsko | 1-1 HT 0-1 | MFK Chrudim B |
| 04/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Chrudim B | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Hlinsko |
| 08/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga | Hlinsko | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MFK Chrudim B |
Standings · Czechia 4. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Bohumin | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Kravare | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | FC Vratimov | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Hlucin | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | TJ Valasske Mezirici | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 19 |
| 6 | Opava B | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 19 |
| 7 | SK Zabreh | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Jiskra Rymarov | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 17 |
| 9 | SK Stonava | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 17 |
| 10 | TJ Novy Jicin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 11 | Pusta Polom | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 14 |
| 12 | Frydek Mistek B | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 13 |
| 13 | FK Sumperk | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Bridlicna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 10 |
| 15 | SSK Bilovec | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 9 |
| 16 | Frydlant Nad Ostravici | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 44 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MFK Chrudim B | Hlinsko |
|---|---|---|
| Turnov | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Spartak Police Nad Metuji | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| SK Kosmonosy | 1-6 L | 2-5 L |
| FK Chlumec N.C | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| SK Vysoke Myto | 4-4 D | 2-3 L |
| FK Prepere | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| FK Trutnov | 0-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MFK Chrudim B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Turnov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
Hlinsko
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Turnov Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga |
1-2 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 26/09 | SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MFK Chrudim B vs Hlinsko?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hlinsko win (54%). Probabilities: MFK Chrudim B 26%, draw 20%, Hlinsko 54%.
How many goals are expected in MFK Chrudim B vs Hlinsko?
The model expects 4.31 goals (MFK Chrudim B 1.78 · Hlinsko 2.53), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in MFK Chrudim B vs Hlinsko?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.