Football · Brazil Copa Gaucho · 12/07, 20:00

Prediction: Gramadense vs Brasil de Pelotas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Gramadense1.04
Brasil de Pelotas1.13
1X2
32% 32% 36%
Gramadense Draw Brasil de Pelotas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gramadense 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLLWDWWDWL
Brasil de Pelotas 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WDWLDDWDDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gramadense 1509 · Brasil de Pelotas 1536
GramadenseDrawBrasil de Pelotas
Our model32%32%36%
Market32%31%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GramadenseBrasil de Pelotas
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.31.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.53.5 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 05.4 / 0.4

Standings · Brazil Copa Gaucho · Copa FGF 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6420 12414
2 GE Bage 6222 668
3 Guarany de Bage 6132 686
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6033 393

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGramadenseBrasil de Pelotas
GE Bage 0-1 L 1-1 D
Santa Cruz RS 2-2 D 1-0 W
Brasil de Farroupilha 1-0 W 4-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Brasil de Pelotas (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gramadense

DLLWDWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 0-1 54 L
27/06 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 18 W
17/06 Santa Cruz RS
Brazil Copa Gaucho
2-2 2-2 25 D
11/06 Monsoon
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 1-0 59 W
07/06 Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 34 W
30/05 Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazil Copa Gaucho
2-0 2-2 45 D
24/05 Monsoon
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 2-1 86 W
13/05 Santa Cruz RS
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 1-2 34 L
06/08 Novo Hamburgo
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-2 1-5 13 L
30/07 Novo Hamburgo
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-0 0-0 33 D

Brasil de Pelotas

WDWLDDWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Santa Cruz RS
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 119 W
27/06 Santa Cruz RS
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 1-1 53 D
17/06 Guarany de Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-1 3-3 D
11/06 Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazil Copa Gaucho
3-0 4-0 125 W
07/06 Azuriz FC
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 D
04/06 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-1 35 D
31/05 Blumenau EC
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-2 106 L
28/05 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 1-0 212 W
24/05 Sao Joseense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 92 D
21/05 Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 1-0 104 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gramadense vs Brasil de Pelotas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brasil de Pelotas win (36%). Probabilities: Gramadense 32%, draw 32%, Brasil de Pelotas 36%.

How many goals are expected in Gramadense vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Gramadense 1.04 · Brasil de Pelotas 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Gramadense vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.