Prediction: Gramadense vs GE Bage
Expected goals: 2.13 (Gramadense 1.21 · GE Bage 0.92). The model gives 42% home, 30% draw, 27% away. Over 2 goals (52%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Gramadense sits at 4-3-3 (W-D-L), while GE Bage arrives on a 2-3-5 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Gramadense and 1 for GE Bage.
| Gramadense | Draw | GE Bage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gramadense (rating 1519 vs 1463).
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gramadense | GE Bage | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/78/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.4 | 3.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0 | 6.2 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gramadense 1–0–1 GE Bage
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Brazil Copa Gaucho | GE Bage | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gramadense |
| 31/05/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 | GE Bage | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gramadense |
Standings · Brazil Copa Gaucho · Copa FGF 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasil de Pelotas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | GE Bage | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gramadense | GE Bage |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz RS | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Brasil de Farroupilha | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gramadense (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gramadense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | GE Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 17/06 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Copa Gaucho |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 07/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Novo Hamburgo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | Novo Hamburgo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Novo Hamburgo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
GE Bage
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Gramadense Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 17/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-1 | 2-1 | 18 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/06 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 21/05 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 14/05 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | Inter de Santa Maria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Inter de Santa Maria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 27/07 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gramadense vs GE Bage?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gramadense win (42%). Probabilities: Gramadense 42%, draw 30%, GE Bage 27%.
How many goals are expected in Gramadense vs GE Bage?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Gramadense 1.21 · GE Bage 0.92), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gramadense vs GE Bage?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.