Prediction: Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
Expected goals: 2.39 (Brasil de Pelotas 1.61 · Santa Cruz RS 0.78). The model gives 56% home, 27% draw, 17% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Brasil de Pelotas is 3-6-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Santa Cruz RS 4-6-0 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Brasil de Pelotas won 1 and Santa Cruz RS 0, with 1 draw.
| Brasil de Pelotas | Draw | Santa Cruz RS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brasil de Pelotas | Santa Cruz RS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.9 | 1.2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.6 | 3.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brasil de Pelotas 1–1–0 Santa Cruz RS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Brazil Copa Gaucho | Santa Cruz RS | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Brasil de Pelotas |
| 05/02/24 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho | Brasil de Pelotas | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Santa Cruz RS |
Standings · Brazil Copa Gaucho · Copa FGF 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasil de Pelotas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | GE Bage | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brasil de Pelotas | Santa Cruz RS |
|---|---|---|
| Brasil de Farroupilha | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| GE Bage | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brasil de Pelotas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
3-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | GE Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | GE Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 24/05 | Sao Joseense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Sao Jose PA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Santa Cruz RS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | Gramadense Brazil Copa Gaucho |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/06 | Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Gramadense Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/07 | CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/07 | Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brasil de Pelotas win (56%). Probabilities: Brasil de Pelotas 56%, draw 27%, Santa Cruz RS 17%.
How many goals are expected in Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Brasil de Pelotas 1.61 · Santa Cruz RS 0.78), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.