Football · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League · 11/07, 15:00
Prediction: CAPS United vs Ngezi Platinum FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
CAPS United1.27
Ngezi Platinum FC0.98
1X2
CAPS United
Draw
Ngezi Platinum FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CAPS United
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Ngezi Platinum FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CAPS United
0–6
Ngezi Platinum FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CAPS United 1476 · Ngezi Platinum FC 1530
| CAPS United | Draw | Ngezi Platinum FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 31% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ngezi Platinum FC (rating 1476 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Ngezi Platinum FC: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CAPS United | Ngezi Platinum FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/63/25% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CAPS United 0–0–6 Ngezi Platinum FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Ngezi Platinum FC | 1-0 | CAPS United |
| 23/07/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Ngezi Platinum FC | 1-0 | CAPS United |
| 06/04/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | CAPS United | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ngezi Platinum FC |
| 24/11/24 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | CAPS United | 1-3 | Ngezi Platinum FC |
| 29/06/24 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Ngezi Platinum FC | 3-2 | CAPS United |
| 19/08/23 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | CAPS United | 0-1 | Ngezi Platinum FC |
Standings · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottland FC Mabvuku | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 46 |
| 2 | Hardrock FC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | Ngezi Platinum FC | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 4 | Herentals FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 36 |
| 5 | CAPS United | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 35 |
| 6 | Dynamos FC | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 17 | 34 |
| 7 | Highlanders FC | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 33 |
| 8 | Simba Bhora | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 28 |
| 9 | MWOS FC | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 27 |
| 10 | FC Platinum | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 27 |
| 11 | Bulawayo Chiefs FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 24 |
| 12 | Chicken Inn FC | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 24 |
| 13 | ZPC Kariba FC | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 20 |
| 14 | FC Hunters | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 20 |
| 15 | Telone FC | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 17 |
| 16 | Agama FC | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
| 17 | Manica Diamonds FC | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 16 |
| 18 | Triangle United | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 29 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CAPS United | Ngezi Platinum FC |
|---|---|---|
| Chicken Inn FC | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| ZPC Kariba FC | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Scottland FC Mabvuku | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Platinum | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Simba Bhora | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| MWOS FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ngezi Platinum FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CAPS United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Hardrock FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Triangle United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Herentals FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/06 | Chicken Inn FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 07/06 | ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Scottland FC Mabvuku Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/05 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/05 | MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Ngezi Platinum FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Chicken Inn FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Scottland FC Mabvuku Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CAPS United vs Ngezi Platinum FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CAPS United win (42%). Probabilities: CAPS United 42%, draw 31%, Ngezi Platinum FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in CAPS United vs Ngezi Platinum FC?
The model expects 2.25 goals (CAPS United 1.27 · Ngezi Platinum FC 0.98), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CAPS United vs Ngezi Platinum FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.