Football · Czechia First League · 08/11, 15:00
Prediction: FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav
Team pages: FK Jablonec · Mlada Boleslav
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
FK Jablonec1.6
Mlada Boleslav1.05
1X2
FK Jablonec
Draw
Mlada Boleslav
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Jablonec
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Mlada Boleslav
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Jablonec
4–1–1
Mlada Boleslav
(6 last)
- FK Jablonec5-0Mlada Boleslav
- FK Jablonec1-0Mlada Boleslav
- Mlada Boleslav3-0FK Jablonec
- FK Jablonec2-0Mlada Boleslav
- Mlada Boleslav2-2FK Jablonec
- Mlada Boleslav0-1FK Jablonec
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Jablonec 1494 · Mlada Boleslav 1550
| FK Jablonec | Draw | Mlada Boleslav | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mlada Boleslav (rating 1494 vs 1550).
- H2H favours FK Jablonec: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Jablonec | Mlada Boleslav | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.5 | 3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jablonec 4–1–1 Mlada Boleslav
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Europe Friendlies | FK Jablonec | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Mlada Boleslav |
| 21/04/26 Czechia Cup | FK Jablonec | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mlada Boleslav |
| 28/02/26 Czechia First League | Mlada Boleslav | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FK Jablonec |
| 28/09/25 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mlada Boleslav |
| 21/06/25 Europe Friendlies | Mlada Boleslav | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FK Jablonec |
| 19/04/25 Czechia First League | Mlada Boleslav | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Jablonec |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 31 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 24 |
| 5 | Sparta Prague | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Teplice | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | FK Jablonec | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | FC Brno | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Viktoria Plzen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 19 |
| 11 | Hradec Kralove | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 13 | Banik Ostrava | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 11 |
| 14 | SK Artis Brno | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 10 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Jablonec | Mlada Boleslav |
|---|---|---|
| Slavia Prague | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Hradec Kralove | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Viktoria Plzen | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Brno | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Banik Ostrava | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Slovan Liberec | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Bohemians 1905 | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Teplice | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mlada Boleslav (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Jablonec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/09 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Mlada Boleslav
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/10 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 10/10 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jablonec win (49%). Probabilities: FK Jablonec 49%, draw 27%, Mlada Boleslav 24%.
How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
The model expects 2.65 goals (FK Jablonec 1.6 · Mlada Boleslav 1.05), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.