Football · Czechia First League · 08/11, 18:00
Prediction: Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prague
Team pages: Viktoria Plzen · Sparta Prague
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Viktoria Plzen1.52
Sparta Prague1.43
1X2
Viktoria Plzen
Draw
Sparta Prague
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Viktoria Plzen
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Sparta Prague
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Viktoria Plzen
2–2–2
Sparta Prague
(6 last)
- Sparta Prague0-0Viktoria Plzen
- Viktoria Plzen0-0Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague2-1Viktoria Plzen
- Viktoria Plzen2-0Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague1-0Viktoria Plzen
- Sparta Prague2-4Viktoria Plzen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktoria Plzen 1533 · Sparta Prague 1560
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Sparta Prague | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Viktoria Plzen | Sparta Prague | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 3 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Plzen 2–2–2 Sparta Prague
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 22/02/26 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sparta Prague |
| 20/09/25 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 27/04/25 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sparta Prague |
| 23/04/25 Czechia Cup | Sparta Prague | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 30/03/25 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Viktoria Plzen |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 31 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 24 |
| 5 | Sparta Prague | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Teplice | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | FK Jablonec | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | FC Brno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 20 |
| 10 | Viktoria Plzen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 19 |
| 11 | Hradec Kralove | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 13 | Banik Ostrava | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 14 |
| 14 | SK Artis Brno | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 10 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Viktoria Plzen | Sparta Prague |
|---|---|---|
| Banik Ostrava | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Pardubice | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FK Jablonec | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Slavia Prague | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Sigma Olomouc | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Hradec Kralove | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| SK Artis Brno | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Slovacko | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sparta Prague (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktoria Plzen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Sparta Prague
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 25/10 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prague?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Viktoria Plzen win (39%). Probabilities: Viktoria Plzen 39%, draw 25%, Sparta Prague 35%.
How many goals are expected in Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prague?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Viktoria Plzen 1.52 · Sparta Prague 1.43), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prague?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.