Football · Czechia First League · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905

Team pages: Slovan Liberec · Bohemians 1905

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Slovan Liberec1.42

Bohemians 19050.68

1X2

55% 27% 18%

Slovan Liberec Draw Bohemians 1905

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Liberec 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWDLLW

Bohemians 1905 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLWWDD

Head-to-head

Slovan Liberec 1–4–1 Bohemians 1905 (6 last)

Bohemians 19050-0Slovan Liberec
Slovan Liberec0-0Bohemians 1905
Slovan Liberec1-0Bohemians 1905
Bohemians 19054-1Slovan Liberec
Bohemians 19050-0Slovan Liberec
Slovan Liberec2-2Bohemians 1905

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Liberec 1573 · Bohemians 1905 1535

	Slovan Liberec	Draw	Bohemians 1905
Our model	54%	30%	17%
Market	56%	25%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Liberec	Bohemians 1905
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.4	1.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.70

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +6’	1.61	3.70	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Liberec 1–4–1 Bohemians 1905

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	0-0 HT 0-0	Slovan Liberec
04/10/25 Czechia First League	Slovan Liberec	0-0 HT 0-0	Bohemians 1905
11/05/25 Czechia First League	Slovan Liberec	1-0 HT 0-0	Bohemians 1905
04/05/25 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	4-1 HT 3-0	Slovan Liberec
23/02/25 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	0-0 HT 0-0	Slovan Liberec
22/09/24 Czechia First League	Slovan Liberec	2-2 HT 2-1	Bohemians 1905

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	13	9	4	0	32	7	31
2	Mlada Boleslav	13	7	3	3	22	15	24
2	Sigma Olomouc	13	7	3	3	22	15	24
4	Sparta Prague	13	7	2	4	25	13	23
5	Slovan Liberec	12	7	2	3	15	8	23
6	FK Teplice	13	6	3	4	21	18	21
7	FK Jablonec	13	6	2	5	16	18	20
8	FC Brno	13	6	2	5	16	19	20
9	Viktoria Plzen	13	5	4	4	28	21	19
10	Bohemians 1905	12	4	5	3	13	13	17
11	Hradec Kralove	13	4	3	6	12	18	15
12	Pardubice	13	4	2	7	15	19	14
13	Banik Ostrava	12	3	2	7	7	22	11
14	SK Artis Brno	12	2	4	6	13	22	10
15	Slovacko	13	1	4	8	12	26	7
16	FC Trinity Zlin	13	0	3	10	11	26	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Liberec	Bohemians 1905
Pardubice	2-1 W	1-2 L
Sigma Olomouc	0-1 L	0-3 L
Slovacko	0-2 L	2-0 W
Mlada Boleslav	3-0 W	1-0 W
FK Jablonec	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Trinity Zlin	1-0 W	2-0 W
Slavia Prague	1-1 D	2-2 D
FC Brno	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Slovan Liberec (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan Liberec

WDWWWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Pardubice Czechia First League	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
17/10	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
11/10	Slovacko Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
19/09	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
12/09	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
06/09	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
30/08	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	10	5	W
22/08	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	FC Brno Czechia First League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Bohemians 1905

WDDLWLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
24/10	FC Brno Czechia First League	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
14/10	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	1	9	W
10/10	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	5	0	W
19/09	Pardubice Czechia First League	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
12/09	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
05/09	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
02/09	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
22/08	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slovan Liberec win (55%). Probabilities: Slovan Liberec 55%, draw 27%, Bohemians 1905 18%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Slovan Liberec 1.42 · Bohemians 1905 0.68), with a 62% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.