Football · Russia Division 1 · 12/07, 16:00
Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs PFC Sochi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.49
PFC Sochi0.71
1X2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Draw
PFC Sochi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
PFC Sochi
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–4–1
PFC Sochi
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1553 vs 1491).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | PFC Sochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.5 | – / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–4–1 PFC Sochi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/25 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 04/08/24 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-2 HT 0-1 | PFC Sochi |
| 25/09/19 Russia Cup | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-0 HT 0-0 | PFC Sochi |
| 19/05/19 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 28/10/18 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-1 HT 0-0 | PFC Sochi |
| 31/03/18 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Chelyabinsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Yenisey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PFC Sochi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Ufa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ural | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Leningradets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arsenal Tula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Veles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/03 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
PFC Sochi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 17/04 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs PFC Sochi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shinnik Yaroslavl win (55%). Probabilities: Shinnik Yaroslavl 55%, draw 29%, PFC Sochi 17%.
How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs PFC Sochi?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.49 · PFC Sochi 0.71), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs PFC Sochi?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.