Football · Russia Division 1 · 19/07, 16:00
Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Leningradets
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.57
FK Leningradets0.87
1X2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Draw
FK Leningradets
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
FK Leningradets
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3–1–0
FK Leningradets
(4 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1547 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Shinnik Yaroslavl: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | FK Leningradets | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.3 | – / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinnik Yaroslavl 3–1–0 FK Leningradets
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/24 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Leningradets |
| 12/08/23 Russia Division 1 | FK Leningradets | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 28/05/22 Russia Division 2 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Leningradets |
| 30/04/22 Russia Division 2 | FK Leningradets | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Ural | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Ufa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FK Chelyabinsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Arsenal Tula | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Veles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | FK Yenisey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | PFC Sochi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Rotor Volgograd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | FK Leningradets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/03 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
FK Leningradets
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Veles Russia Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Torpedo Miass Russia Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Volgar G Astrakhan Russia Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Kaluga Russia Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FK Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk Russia Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Novosibirsk Russia Division 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | FC Irtysh Omsk Russia Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Rodina-2 Russia Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Leningradets?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shinnik Yaroslavl win (53%). Probabilities: Shinnik Yaroslavl 53%, draw 28%, FK Leningradets 20%.
How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Leningradets?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.57 · FK Leningradets 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Leningradets?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.