Football · Russia Division 1 · 19/07, 17:30
Prediction: Torpedo Moscow vs FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Torpedo Moscow1.52
FK Volga Ulyanovsk0.79
1X2
Torpedo Moscow
Draw
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Torpedo Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Torpedo Moscow
2–2
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
(4 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Moscow (rating 1546 vs 1491).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torpedo Moscow | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.6 | – / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torpedo Moscow 2–0–2 FK Volga Ulyanovsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/26 Club Friendly List | Torpedo Moscow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk |
| 21/11/25 Russia Division 1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 12/09/25 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 2-3 HT 1-0 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk |
| 25/06/19 Europe Friendlies | Torpedo Moscow | 3-1 HT 2-1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Ufa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FK Yenisey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Veles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | FK Chelyabinsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Ural | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Arsenal Tula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Torpedo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Rotor Volgograd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | FK Leningradets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torpedo Moscow | FK Volga Ulyanovsk |
|---|---|---|
| FK Yenisey | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Chaika Petropavlovskaya | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Fakel Voronezh | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Arsenal Tula | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Torpedo Moscow (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torpedo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | FK Spartak Kostroma Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/06 | Torpedo Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | Arsenal Tula Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Sokol Saratov Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/04 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Rodina Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torpedo Moscow vs FK Volga Ulyanovsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torpedo Moscow win (53%). Probabilities: Torpedo Moscow 53%, draw 28%, FK Volga Ulyanovsk 18%.
How many goals are expected in Torpedo Moscow vs FK Volga Ulyanovsk?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Torpedo Moscow 1.52 · FK Volga Ulyanovsk 0.79), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Torpedo Moscow vs FK Volga Ulyanovsk?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.