Football · Russia Division 1 · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Energia Khabarovsk

Team pages: Shinnik Yaroslavl · SKA Energia Khabarovsk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Shinnik Yaroslavl1.82

SKA Energia Khabarovsk0.98

1X2

56% 25% 19%

Shinnik Yaroslavl Draw SKA Energia Khabarovsk

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Shinnik Yaroslavl 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWWDDL

SKA Energia Khabarovsk 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLDD

Head-to-head

Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–2–2 SKA Energia Khabarovsk (6 last)

Shinnik Yaroslavl3-0SKA Energia Khabarovsk
SKA Energia Khabarovsk3-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl0-1SKA Energia Khabarovsk
SKA Energia Khabarovsk0-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl2-1SKA Energia Khabarovsk
SKA Energia Khabarovsk0-0Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1528 vs 1457).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shinnik Yaroslavl	SKA Energia Khabarovsk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 6	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.97

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.72 → 1.72	Pinn 1.72
X	3.89 → 3.89	Pinn 3.89
2	4.39 → 4.39	Pinn 4.39

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:43 +93’	1.72	3.89	4.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–2–2 SKA Energia Khabarovsk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Russia Division 1	Shinnik Yaroslavl	3-0 HT 3-0	SKA Energia Khabarovsk
05/10/25 Russia Division 1	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	3-1 HT 1-0	Shinnik Yaroslavl
09/03/25 Russia Division 1	Shinnik Yaroslavl	0-1 HT 0-1	SKA Energia Khabarovsk
10/08/24 Russia Division 1	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	0-0 HT 0-0	Shinnik Yaroslavl
12/05/24 Russia Division 1	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2-1 HT 2-0	SKA Energia Khabarovsk
18/02/24 Club Friendly List	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	0-0 HT 0-0	Shinnik Yaroslavl

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	12	10	1	1	36	14	31
2	FK Spartak Kostroma	11	7	3	1	15	8	24
3	PFC Sochi	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
4	Veles	12	7	2	3	16	14	23
5	Ural	11	6	4	1	18	5	22
6	Torpedo Moscow	11	6	2	3	21	9	20
7	Rotor Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20	14	17
8	FC Ufa	11	4	5	2	16	13	17
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	11	3	6	2	15	13	15
10	FK Yenisey	11	3	4	4	14	19	13
11	Arsenal Tula	12	3	4	5	12	22	13
12	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	12	4	0	8	7	15	12
13	FK Chelyabinsk	11	3	2	6	12	18	11
14	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	11	3	2	6	14	17	11
15	FK Leningradets	11	2	4	5	9	20	10
16	Kamaz Nab Chelny	12	2	3	7	11	19	9
17	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	12	1	4	7	8	19	7
18	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	11	1	2	8	11	23	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shinnik Yaroslavl	SKA Energia Khabarovsk
Rotor Volgograd	2-2 D	0-1 L
Arsenal Tula	2-2 D	2-2 D
FC Nizhny Novgorod	0-3 L	2-4 L
Torpedo Moscow	1-1 D	0-2 L
PFC Sochi	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Shinnik Yaroslavl (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shinnik Yaroslavl

DWDLDWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
05/09	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	1-1	2-2	6	10	D
30/08	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
14/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
08/08	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
02/08	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
26/07	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
19/07	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	0-0	2-0	16	2	W
12/07	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	1-0	2-2	3	4	D

SKA Energia Khabarovsk

LLLLLWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
24/08	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Veles Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/08	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
02/08	Ural Russia Division 1	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
26/07	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
20/07	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/07	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Energia Khabarovsk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shinnik Yaroslavl win (56%). Probabilities: Shinnik Yaroslavl 56%, draw 25%, SKA Energia Khabarovsk 19%.

How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Energia Khabarovsk?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.82 · SKA Energia Khabarovsk 0.98), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Energia Khabarovsk?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.