Football · Russia Division 1 · 30/10, 16:00

Prediction: Veles vs FK Spartak Kostroma

Team pages: Veles · FK Spartak Kostroma

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Veles1.13

FK Spartak Kostroma1.12

1X2

34% 31% 34%

Veles Draw FK Spartak Kostroma

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Veles 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLDLWDL

FK Spartak Kostroma 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Veles 2–2–2 FK Spartak Kostroma (6 last)

FK Spartak Kostroma1-2Veles
Veles0-1FK Spartak Kostroma
Veles0-1FK Spartak Kostroma
FK Spartak Kostroma1-1Veles
Veles2-1FK Spartak Kostroma
FK Spartak Kostroma0-0Veles

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Spartak Kostroma (rating 1497 vs 1551).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veles	FK Spartak Kostroma
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 4.1	– / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.94

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.93 → 2.96▲	Pinn 2.96
X	3.06 → 3.09▲	Pinn 3.09
2	2.48 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:54 +17’	2.93	3.06	2.48
19:12 +2’	2.96▲	3.09▲	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veles 2–2–2 FK Spartak Kostroma

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/25 Russia Division 2	FK Spartak Kostroma	1-2 HT 1-0	Veles
19/04/25 Russia Division 2	Veles	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Spartak Kostroma
17/11/24 Russia Division 2	Veles	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Spartak Kostroma
21/07/24 Russia Division 2	FK Spartak Kostroma	1-1 HT 1-0	Veles
08/10/23 Russia Division 2	Veles	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Spartak Kostroma
13/08/23 Russia Division 2	FK Spartak Kostroma	0-0 HT 0-0	Veles

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	15	13	1	1	44	15	40
2	PFC Sochi	15	10	2	3	26	15	32
3	Torpedo Moscow	15	8	4	3	27	12	28
4	Ural	15	8	4	3	25	11	28
5	FK Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	20	13	27
6	Veles	16	8	3	5	20	19	27
7	FC Ufa	15	5	6	4	18	15	21
8	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	16	6	3	7	21	22	21
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	18	14	20
10	Arsenal Tula	15	5	4	6	19	29	19
11	Rotor Volgograd	15	5	4	6	23	18	19
12	FK Chelyabinsk	15	4	3	8	19	26	15
13	FK Yenisey	15	3	5	7	16	30	14
14	FK Leningradets	15	3	5	7	12	26	14
15	Kamaz Nab Chelny	15	3	4	8	19	27	13
16	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	15	4	1	10	11	22	13
17	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	15	2	4	9	18	28	10
18	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	15	2	4	9	11	25	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veles	FK Spartak Kostroma
FK Volga Ulyanovsk	0-1 L	1-0 W
Ural	2-1 W	1-2 L
Torpedo Moscow	1-1 D	0-3 L
FC Ufa	1-1 D	1-1 D
Arsenal Tula	2-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Veles (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veles

WWWDLDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/10	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	0-1	1-1	10	1	D
10/10	Ural Russia Division 1	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
04/10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
17/09	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
14/09	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
05/09	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
29/08	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/08	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/08	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-1	3-2	2	2	W

FK Spartak Kostroma

WDLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
09/10	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Ural Russia Division 1	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
18/09	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
14/09	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
05/09	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
31/08	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
21/08	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-2	0-3	4	6	L
17/08	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	11	6	D
09/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veles vs FK Spartak Kostroma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Veles win (34%). Probabilities: Veles 34%, draw 31%, FK Spartak Kostroma 34%.

How many goals are expected in Veles vs FK Spartak Kostroma?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Veles 1.13 · FK Spartak Kostroma 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Veles vs FK Spartak Kostroma?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.