Football · Russia Division 1 · 08/11, 07:45

Prediction: FK Yenisey vs PFC Sochi

Team pages: FK Yenisey · PFC Sochi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

FK Yenisey1.16

PFC Sochi1.48

1X2

28% 28% 43%

FK Yenisey Draw PFC Sochi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Yenisey 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLWDLLLL

PFC Sochi 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDWWWL

Head-to-head

FK Yenisey 3–1–2 PFC Sochi (6 last)

PFC Sochi2-1FK Yenisey
FK Yenisey1-0PFC Sochi
FK Yenisey3-3PFC Sochi
FK Yenisey2-1PFC Sochi
PFC Sochi2-1FK Yenisey
FK Yenisey3-1PFC Sochi

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PFC Sochi (rating 1437 vs 1541).
H2H favours FK Yenisey: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Yenisey	PFC Sochi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.4	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 6	– / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.11 → 3.11	Pinn 3.11
X	3.55 → 3.55	Pinn 3.55
2	2.18 → 2.18	Pinn 2.18

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:03 +15’	3.11	3.55	2.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Yenisey 3–1–2 PFC Sochi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/03/25 Russia Division 1	PFC Sochi	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Yenisey
18/08/24 Russia Division 1	FK Yenisey	1-0 HT 1-0	PFC Sochi
07/02/19 Europe Friendlies	FK Yenisey	3-3 HT 1-1	PFC Sochi
12/05/18 Russia Division 1	FK Yenisey	2-1 HT 0-1	PFC Sochi
08/07/17 Russia Division 1	PFC Sochi	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Yenisey
19/04/15 Russia Division 1	FK Yenisey	3-1 HT 2-0	PFC Sochi

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	16	14	1	1	48	15	43
2	PFC Sochi	16	10	2	4	26	17	32
3	Ural	16	9	4	3	27	11	31
4	Torpedo Moscow	16	8	5	3	28	13	29
5	FK Spartak Kostroma	16	8	4	4	22	16	28
6	Veles	17	8	4	5	21	20	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	16	5	8	3	20	17	23
8	FC Ufa	16	5	7	4	18	15	22
9	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	17	6	4	7	22	23	22
10	Rotor Volgograd	16	5	5	6	23	18	20
11	Arsenal Tula	16	5	4	7	19	33	19
12	FK Chelyabinsk	16	5	3	8	21	26	18
13	FK Leningradets	16	4	5	7	15	26	17
14	Kamaz Nab Chelny	16	3	5	8	20	28	14
15	FK Yenisey	16	3	5	8	16	33	14
16	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	16	3	4	9	20	28	13
17	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	16	4	1	11	11	24	13
18	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	16	2	5	9	12	26	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Yenisey	PFC Sochi
SKA Energia Khabarovsk	0-3 L	1-1 D
FC Nizhny Novgorod	0-5 L	0-1 L
FK Chelyabinsk	1-1 D	2-1 W
Rotor Volgograd	0-4 L	1-0 W
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0-2 L	2-1 W
FC Ufa	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: PFC Sochi (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Yenisey

LDLLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
24/10	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-2	0-5	5	4	L
26/09	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
16/09	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/09	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	0-2	0-4	5	9	L
05/09	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
30/08	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
23/08	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	1-3	8	6	L

PFC Sochi

WWWLWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Ural Russia Division 1	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
24/10	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
16/10	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
11/10	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
18/09	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/09	Veles Russia Division 1	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
05/09	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
30/08	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
24/08	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	1-2	3-2	5	5	W
20/08	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	2-0	2-1	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Yenisey vs PFC Sochi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PFC Sochi win (43%). Probabilities: FK Yenisey 28%, draw 28%, PFC Sochi 43%.

How many goals are expected in FK Yenisey vs PFC Sochi?

The model expects 2.64 goals (FK Yenisey 1.16 · PFC Sochi 1.48), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Yenisey vs PFC Sochi?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.