Football · Russia Division 1 · 07/11, 15:00
Prediction: Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Team pages: Torpedo Moscow · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Torpedo Moscow2
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk0.71
1X2
Torpedo Moscow
Draw
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Torpedo Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Torpedo Moscow
4–2–0
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
(6 last)
- Torpedo Moscow3-0Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk0-0Torpedo Moscow
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk0-1Torpedo Moscow
- Torpedo Moscow2-1Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk0-0Torpedo Moscow
- Torpedo Moscow2-1Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Moscow (rating 1565 vs 1426).
- H2H favours Torpedo Moscow: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torpedo Moscow | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.9 | – / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 5.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torpedo Moscow 4–2–0 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 27/07/25 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 15/03/25 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 17/08/24 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
| 12/11/23 Russia Division 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 21/08/23 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Ural | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Veles | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 28 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 23 |
| 8 | FC Ufa | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 22 |
| 9 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 19 |
| 12 | FK Chelyabinsk | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | FK Leningradets | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 17 |
| 14 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Yenisey | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 14 |
| 16 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 13 |
| 17 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 13 |
| 18 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torpedo Moscow | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk |
|---|---|---|
| Kamaz Nab Chelny | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FK Yenisey | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| FK Leningradets | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Ufa | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Spartak Kostroma | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Torpedo Moscow (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torpedo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/10 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/09 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 13 | L |
| 09/10 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/08 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torpedo Moscow win (67%). Probabilities: Torpedo Moscow 67%, draw 22%, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 11%.
How many goals are expected in Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Torpedo Moscow 2 · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 0.71), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.