Football · Russia Division 1 · 14/11, 14:30

Prediction: FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow

Team pages: FK Volga Ulyanovsk · Torpedo Moscow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

FK Volga Ulyanovsk1.23

Torpedo Moscow1.18

1X2

36% 30% 34%

FK Volga Ulyanovsk Draw Torpedo Moscow

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Volga Ulyanovsk 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWDWWDL

Torpedo Moscow 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWWDDW

Head-to-head

FK Volga Ulyanovsk 2–3 Torpedo Moscow (5 last)

Torpedo Moscow3-1FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Torpedo Moscow1-0FK Volga Ulyanovsk
FK Volga Ulyanovsk2-0Torpedo Moscow
Torpedo Moscow2-3FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Torpedo Moscow3-1FK Volga Ulyanovsk

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Moscow (rating 1515 vs 1563).
H2H favours Torpedo Moscow: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	Torpedo Moscow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 4.2	– / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.78

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.82 → 3.82	Pinn 3.82
X	3.30 → 3.35▲	Pinn 3.35
2	1.97 → 1.99▲	Pinn 1.99

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:56 +6’	3.82	3.30	1.97
10:54 +9’	3.82	3.35▲	1.99▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Volga Ulyanovsk 2–0–3 Torpedo Moscow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Russia Division 1	Torpedo Moscow	3-1 HT 2-0	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
22/06/26 Club Friendly List	Torpedo Moscow	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
21/11/25 Russia Division 1	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	2-0 HT 2-0	Torpedo Moscow
12/09/25 Russia Division 1	Torpedo Moscow	2-3 HT 1-0	FK Volga Ulyanovsk
25/06/19 Europe Friendlies	Torpedo Moscow	3-1 HT 2-1	FK Volga Ulyanovsk

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	17	15	1	1	52	15	46
2	Ural	17	10	4	3	29	11	34
3	PFC Sochi	17	10	2	5	26	20	32
4	Torpedo Moscow	17	9	5	3	29	13	32
5	FK Spartak Kostroma	17	8	4	5	22	20	28
6	Veles	17	8	4	5	21	20	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	22	18	26
8	FC Ufa	17	5	7	5	19	17	22
9	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	18	6	4	8	22	25	22
10	Rotor Volgograd	17	5	6	6	24	19	21
11	FK Chelyabinsk	17	6	3	8	23	27	21
12	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	20	35	19
13	FK Leningradets	17	4	6	7	16	27	18
14	FK Yenisey	17	4	5	8	19	33	17
15	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	17	4	4	9	23	28	16
16	Kamaz Nab Chelny	16	3	5	8	20	28	14
17	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	17	4	1	12	11	25	13
18	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	17	2	5	10	12	29	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	Torpedo Moscow
Tekstilshik Ivanovo	1-1 D	4-1 W
Veles	1-0 W	1-1 D
SKA Energia Khabarovsk	2-1 W	2-0 W
Rotor Volgograd	2-2 D	1-1 D
FK Leningradets	0-1 L	3-1 W
FC Ufa	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Torpedo Moscow (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Volga Ulyanovsk

WDLLWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Ural Russia Division 1	0-2	0-2	3	8	L
31/10	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	Veles Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/10	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	1-0	2-2	2	0	D
04/10	Veles Russia Division 1	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
26/09	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
18/09	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
13/09	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
05/09	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Torpedo Moscow

WWLDDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
01/11	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
23/10	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
17/10	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
27/09	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/09	Veles Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	1-1	1-2	9	3	L
04/09	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
30/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Volga Ulyanovsk win (36%). Probabilities: FK Volga Ulyanovsk 36%, draw 30%, Torpedo Moscow 34%.

How many goals are expected in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow?

The model expects 2.41 goals (FK Volga Ulyanovsk 1.23 · Torpedo Moscow 1.18), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.