Football · Russia Division 1 · 15/11, 15:00
Prediction: PFC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Team pages: PFC Sochi · Shinnik Yaroslavl
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
PFC Sochi1.44
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.1
1X2
PFC Sochi
Draw
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
PFC Sochi
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PFC Sochi
1–4–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(6 last)
- Shinnik Yaroslavl2-2PFC Sochi
- PFC Sochi1-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl0-2PFC Sochi
- Shinnik Yaroslavl0-0PFC Sochi
- PFC Sochi0-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1PFC Sochi
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PFC Sochi | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.8 | – / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PFC Sochi 1–4–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2-2 HT 1-0 | PFC Sochi |
| 23/03/25 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 04/08/24 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-2 HT 0-1 | PFC Sochi |
| 25/09/19 Russia Cup | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-0 HT 0-0 | PFC Sochi |
| 19/05/19 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 28/10/18 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-1 HT 0-0 | PFC Sochi |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 52 | 15 | 46 |
| 2 | Ural | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 32 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Veles | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 28 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | FC Ufa | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 22 |
| 9 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 19 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Chelyabinsk | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 27 | 21 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 35 | 19 |
| 13 | FK Leningradets | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 18 |
| 14 | FK Yenisey | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 17 |
| 15 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 16 |
| 16 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 14 |
| 17 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 25 | 13 |
| 18 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PFC Sochi | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| FK Yenisey | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Ufa | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Veles | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Chelyabinsk | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Kamaz Nab Chelny | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: PFC Sochi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PFC Sochi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 01/11 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/10 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/09 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/10 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/09 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 30/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PFC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PFC Sochi win (44%). Probabilities: PFC Sochi 44%, draw 29%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 27%.
How many goals are expected in PFC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model expects 2.54 goals (PFC Sochi 1.44 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PFC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.