Football · Russia Division 1 · 13/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Ural1.02
Torpedo Moscow1.09
1X2
Ural
Draw
Torpedo Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ural
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Torpedo Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ural
3–2–1
Torpedo Moscow
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Moscow (rating 1501 vs 1567).
- H2H favours Ural: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ural | Torpedo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.3 | – / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ural 3–2–1 Torpedo Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Russia Division 1 | Ural | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 18/08/25 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ural |
| 21/04/25 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ural |
| 05/10/24 Russia Division 1 | Ural | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 11/03/23 Russia Premier League | Torpedo Moscow | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ural |
| 26/11/22 Russia Cup | Torpedo Moscow | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Ural |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Chelyabinsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Yenisey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PFC Sochi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Ufa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ural | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Leningradets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arsenal Tula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rotor Volgograd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Veles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ural | Torpedo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Kamaz Nab Chelny | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Ufa | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Chaika Petropavlovskaya | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ural
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Sokol Saratov Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
Torpedo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 30/03 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ural vs Torpedo Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Torpedo Moscow win (36%). Probabilities: Ural 32%, draw 33%, Torpedo Moscow 36%.
How many goals are expected in Ural vs Torpedo Moscow?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Ural 1.02 · Torpedo Moscow 1.09), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ural vs Torpedo Moscow?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.