Football · Russia Division 1 · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: PFC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
PFC Sochi1.57
Arsenal Tula0.89
1X2
PFC Sochi
Draw
Arsenal Tula
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
PFC Sochi
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Arsenal Tula
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PFC Sochi
4–1–1
Arsenal Tula
(6 last)
- PFC Sochi5-1Arsenal Tula
- Arsenal Tula1-1PFC Sochi
- PFC Sochi2-0Arsenal Tula
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PFC Sochi (rating 1494 vs 1447).
- H2H favours PFC Sochi: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PFC Sochi | Arsenal Tula | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.5 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PFC Sochi 4–1–1 Arsenal Tula
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/25 Russia Division 1 | PFC Sochi | 5-1 HT 0-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| 13/10/24 Russia Division 1 | Arsenal Tula | 1-1 HT 1-0 | PFC Sochi |
| 26/02/22 Russia Premier League | PFC Sochi | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| 31/10/21 Russia Premier League | Arsenal Tula | 1-2 HT 0-1 | PFC Sochi |
| 27/02/21 Russia Premier League | PFC Sochi | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| 20/09/20 Russia Premier League | Arsenal Tula | 3-2 HT 2-1 | PFC Sochi |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Veles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Ufa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Ural | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | FK Chelyabinsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | FK Yenisey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | PFC Sochi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | FK Leningradets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PFC Sochi | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| FK Spartak Kostroma | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CSKA Moscow | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PFC Sochi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 17/04 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Arsenal Tula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | CSKA Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | FK Spartak Kostroma Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Rodina Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/04 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PFC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PFC Sochi win (52%). Probabilities: PFC Sochi 52%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 20%.
How many goals are expected in PFC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
The model expects 2.47 goals (PFC Sochi 1.57 · Arsenal Tula 0.89), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PFC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.