Football · Russia Division 1 · 02/08, 16:00
Prediction: FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Team pages: FC Nizhny Novgorod · Shinnik Yaroslavl
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
FC Nizhny Novgorod1.29
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.35
1X2
FC Nizhny Novgorod
Draw
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Nizhny Novgorod
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Nizhny Novgorod
3–1–2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(6 last)
- Shinnik Yaroslavl1-3FC Nizhny Novgorod
- FC Nizhny Novgorod3-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl1-3FC Nizhny Novgorod
- FC Nizhny Novgorod2-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
- FC Nizhny Novgorod1-3Shinnik Yaroslavl
- FC Nizhny Novgorod0-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1497 vs 1560).
- H2H favours FC Nizhny Novgorod: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Nizhny Novgorod | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.9 | – / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Nizhny Novgorod 3–1–2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/21 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-3 HT 0-2 | FC Nizhny Novgorod |
| 19/09/20 Russia Division 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 03/11/19 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-3 HT 0-2 | FC Nizhny Novgorod |
| 30/10/19 Russia Cup | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 19/07/19 Russia Division 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 17/03/19 Russia Division 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Ufa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | FK Yenisey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Rotor Volgograd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Veles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | PFC Sochi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Ural | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | FK Chelyabinsk | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Arsenal Tula | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | FK Leningradets | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Nizhny Novgorod
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
3-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shinnik Yaroslavl win (37%). Probabilities: FC Nizhny Novgorod 34%, draw 29%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 37%.
How many goals are expected in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model expects 2.64 goals (FC Nizhny Novgorod 1.29 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.