Football · Russia Division 1 · 02/08, 14:00
Prediction: Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Arsenal Tula0.96
Torpedo Moscow1.38
1X2
Arsenal Tula
Draw
Torpedo Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Arsenal Tula
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Torpedo Moscow
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arsenal Tula
0–5–1
Torpedo Moscow
(6 last)
- Torpedo Moscow1-1Arsenal Tula
- Arsenal Tula2-2Torpedo Moscow
- Arsenal Tula0-1Torpedo Moscow
- Torpedo Moscow2-2Arsenal Tula
- Torpedo Moscow1-1Arsenal Tula
- Arsenal Tula1-1Torpedo Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Moscow (rating 1442 vs 1559).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arsenal Tula | Torpedo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | – / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal Tula 0–5–1 Torpedo Moscow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| 11/10/25 Russia Division 1 | Arsenal Tula | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 30/03/25 Russia Division 1 | Arsenal Tula | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
| 09/09/24 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Arsenal Tula |
| 20/04/24 Russia Division 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Arsenal Tula |
| 28/08/23 Russia Division 1 | Arsenal Tula | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Torpedo Moscow |
Standings · Russia Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | FK Yenisey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Veles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Ufa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Ural | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | FK Chelyabinsk | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Rotor Volgograd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | PFC Sochi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | FK Leningradets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arsenal Tula | Torpedo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| FK Yenisey | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Torpedo Moscow (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arsenal Tula
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/07 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | CSKA Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | FK Spartak Kostroma Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Rodina Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Torpedo Moscow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 13/07 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Torpedo Moscow win (45%). Probabilities: Arsenal Tula 25%, draw 30%, Torpedo Moscow 45%.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Arsenal Tula 0.96 · Torpedo Moscow 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.