Football · Russia Division 1 · 07/11, 15:00
Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Ufa
Team pages: Shinnik Yaroslavl · FC Ufa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.29
FC Ufa0.64
1X2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Draw
FC Ufa
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
FC Ufa
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4–2
FC Ufa
(6 last)
- Shinnik Yaroslavl1-0FC Ufa
- FC Ufa1-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
- FC Ufa1-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
- FC Ufa0-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl2-0FC Ufa
- FC Ufa1-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1525 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Shinnik Yaroslavl: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | FC Ufa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.4 | – / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinnik Yaroslavl 4–0–2 FC Ufa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Ufa |
| 02/08/25 Russia Division 1 | FC Ufa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 27/04/25 Russia Division 1 | FC Ufa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 15/10/24 Russia Cup | FC Ufa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 07/09/24 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Ufa |
| 19/03/23 Russia Division 1 | FC Ufa | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Ural | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Veles | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 28 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 23 |
| 8 | FC Ufa | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 22 |
| 9 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 19 |
| 12 | FK Chelyabinsk | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | FK Leningradets | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 17 |
| 14 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Yenisey | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 14 |
| 16 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 13 |
| 17 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 13 |
| 18 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shinnik Yaroslavl | FC Ufa |
|---|---|---|
| FK Chelyabinsk | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Veles | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Rotor Volgograd | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| FK Yenisey | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/10 | FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/09 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 30/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
FC Ufa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/09 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Veles Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 28/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Ufa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shinnik Yaroslavl win (51%). Probabilities: Shinnik Yaroslavl 51%, draw 32%, FC Ufa 17%.
How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Ufa?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.29 · FC Ufa 0.64), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Ufa?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.