Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 16/08, 14:30
Prediction: ADO '20 vs USV Hercules
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
ADO '201.75
USV Hercules1.12
1X2
ADO '20
Draw
USV Hercules
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
ADO '20
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
USV Hercules
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ADO '20
2–2–1
USV Hercules
(5 last)
- USV Hercules2-2ADO '20
- ADO '201-0USV Hercules
- USV Hercules1-0ADO '20
- ADO '203-1USV Hercules
- USV Hercules3-3ADO '20
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ADO '20 1524 · USV Hercules 1533
| ADO '20 | Draw | USV Hercules | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours ADO '20: 2-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ADO '20 | USV Hercules | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 22/78/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ADO '20 2–2–1 USV Hercules
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie | USV Hercules | 2-2 HT 1-1 | ADO '20 |
| 26/10/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie | ADO '20 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | USV Hercules |
| 19/02/23 Netherlands Derde Divisie | USV Hercules | 1-0 | ADO '20 |
| 28/08/22 Netherlands Derde Divisie | ADO '20 | 3-1 HT 2-0 | USV Hercules |
| 06/06/22 Netherlands Derde Divisie | USV Hercules | 3-3 HT 1-1 | ADO '20 |
Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior '31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Purmersteijn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Hoogeveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | ACV Assen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Sparta Nijkerk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Staphorst | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | DOVO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | USV Hercules | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SV Zwaluwen Wierden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | HVV Hollandia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | DVS'33 Ermelo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | TEC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | VV Scherpenzeel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | VV Eemdijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ADO '20 | USV Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| DOVO | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| TEC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: ADO '20 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ADO '20
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Koninklijke HFC Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 03/06 | IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Lisse Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | FC Lisse Netherlands Tweede Divisie Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | DOVO Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | VV Scherpenzeel Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Urk Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Staphorst Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | TEC Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
USV Hercules
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | TEC Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Harkemase Boys Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Sportlust '46 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Excelsior '31 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | HSC '21 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-1 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | ADO '20 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/03 | DOVO Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Genemuiden Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/03 | SV Huizen Netherlands Derde Divisie |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ADO '20 vs USV Hercules?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ADO '20 win (52%). Probabilities: ADO '20 52%, draw 25%, USV Hercules 24%.
How many goals are expected in ADO '20 vs USV Hercules?
The model expects 2.87 goals (ADO '20 1.75 · USV Hercules 1.12), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in ADO '20 vs USV Hercules?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.