Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 03/10, 14:30

Prediction: DOVO vs ADO '20

Team pages: DOVO · ADO '20

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

DOVO1.78

ADO '201.35

1X2

47% 25% 28%

DOVO Draw ADO '20

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

DOVO 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLWLLL

ADO '20 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDWLLL

Head-to-head

DOVO 1–1 ADO '20 (2 last)

DOVO1-0ADO '20
ADO '202-0DOVO

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	DOVO	ADO '20
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.2	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	2.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.94

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.16 → 2.16	Pinn 2.16
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.40
2	2.71 → 2.71	Pinn 2.71

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:43 +69’	2.16	3.40	2.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · DOVO 1–0–1 ADO '20

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie	DOVO	1-0 HT 0-0	ADO '20
13/12/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	ADO '20	2-0 HT 1-0	DOVO

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ACV Assen	7	6	1	0	19	4	19
2	Genemuiden	7	6	0	1	16	4	18
3	Harkemase Boys	7	5	2	0	13	7	17
4	Excelsior '31	7	5	1	1	19	6	16
5	VV Scherpenzeel	7	5	1	1	11	7	16
6	Sportlust '46	7	4	3	0	16	10	15
7	TEC	7	4	1	2	24	16	13
8	Sparta Nijkerk	7	3	2	2	20	16	11
9	Purmersteijn	7	3	2	2	11	9	11
10	Hoogeveen	7	3	1	3	17	14	10
11	ADO '20	7	2	1	4	12	17	7
12	USV Hercules	7	2	0	5	11	20	6
13	DVS'33 Ermelo	7	1	2	4	10	14	5
14	DOVO	7	1	2	4	8	16	5
15	Staphorst	7	0	3	4	10	15	3
16	VV Eemdijk	7	1	0	6	9	26	3
17	HVV Hollandia	7	0	1	6	13	23	1
18	SV Zwaluwen Wierden	7	0	1	6	9	24	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	DOVO	ADO '20
Hoogeveen	1-4 L	1-5 L
Purmersteijn	2-1 W	1-2 L
VV Scherpenzeel	2-3 L	0-1 L
SV Zwaluwen Wierden	1-1 D	6-4 W
Staphorst	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: DOVO (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

DOVO

LWWDDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Excelsior '31 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
19/09	Sportlust '46 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Hoogeveen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
05/09	Purmersteijn Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	VV Scherpenzeel Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	SV Zwaluwen Wierden Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Staphorst Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	ADO '20 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	Genemuiden Netherlands Derde Divisie	4-1	6-2	–	–	W
09/05	SV Huizen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	1-4	–	–	L

ADO '20

LWLWLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Hoogeveen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-2	1-5	3	2	L
20/09	Purmersteijn Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
13/09	VV Scherpenzeel Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
05/09	SV Zwaluwen Wierden Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-3	6-4	–	–	W
29/08	Staphorst Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	VV Eemdijk Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
16/08	USV Hercules Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	3-1	5	2	W
23/05	DOVO Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	VV Scherpenzeel Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	Urk Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in DOVO vs ADO '20?

According to our model, the most likely result is a DOVO win (47%). Probabilities: DOVO 47%, draw 25%, ADO '20 28%.

How many goals are expected in DOVO vs ADO '20?

The model expects 3.14 goals (DOVO 1.78 · ADO '20 1.35), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in DOVO vs ADO '20?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.