Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 03/10, 14:30

Prediction: Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster

Team pages: Rijnvogels · Groene Ster

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

Rijnvogels2.55

Groene Ster1.27

1X2

64% 19% 17%

Rijnvogels Draw Groene Ster

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Rijnvogels 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWWWWW

Groene Ster 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDDWDL

Head-to-head

Rijnvogels 1–1 Groene Ster (2 last)

Rijnvogels3-1Groene Ster
Groene Ster3-2Rijnvogels

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rijnvogels (rating 1567 vs 1431).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rijnvogels	Groene Ster
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	1.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.7	3.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.83

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Pinn 1.45
X	4.40 → 4.40	Pinn 4.40
2	4.80 → 4.80	Pinn 4.80

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:43 +68’	1.45	4.40	4.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rijnvogels 1–0–1 Groene Ster

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie	Rijnvogels	3-1 HT 2-0	Groene Ster
28/09/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	Groene Ster	3-2 HT 2-0	Rijnvogels

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rijnvogels	7	5	2	0	20	6	17
2	Noordwijk	7	5	1	1	13	2	16
3	FC Lisse	7	5	1	1	12	6	16
4	Excelsior Maassluis	7	4	2	1	13	5	14
5	VV Goes	7	4	2	1	16	13	14
6	RKSV UDI '19	7	3	2	2	10	9	11
7	VV Gemert	7	2	4	1	12	11	10
8	VV Dongen	7	3	1	3	17	17	10
9	Zwaluwen	7	3	1	3	6	10	10
10	SV Poortugaal	7	3	0	4	8	9	9
11	Roosendaal	7	3	0	4	10	12	9
12	Blauw Geel '38	7	2	2	3	10	10	8
13	VV UNA	7	1	4	2	11	12	7
14	VVSB	7	2	1	4	8	13	7
15	Groene Ster	7	1	3	3	11	15	6
16	TOGB	7	1	2	4	9	15	5
17	Achilles Veen	7	1	0	6	7	19	3
18	EVV Echt	7	0	2	5	8	17	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rijnvogels	Groene Ster
VV Gemert	2-2 D	1-2 L
VVSB	0-3 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rijnvogels

WDLDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/09	SV Poortugaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
05/09	VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	5-2	6	1	W
30/08	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	4-1	10	1	W
23/08	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
16/05	Meerssen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
09/05	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

Groene Ster

LLWLLDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
19/09	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
12/09	Zwaluwen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
05/09	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	3-3	–	–	D
30/08	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	3-3	4	2	D
22/08	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
16/08	Roosendaal Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
23/05	ASWH Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	3-1	10	1	W
16/05	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-3	1-5	3	0	L
09/05	Kloetinge Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rijnvogels win (64%). Probabilities: Rijnvogels 64%, draw 19%, Groene Ster 17%.

How many goals are expected in Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Rijnvogels 2.55 · Groene Ster 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.