Football · Austria Landesliga · 09/10, 18:30

Prediction: SV Strasswalchen vs USV 1960 Berndorf

Team pages: SV Strasswalchen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.19Total

SV Strasswalchen2.74

USV 1960 Berndorf1.45

1X2

64% 18% 18%

SV Strasswalchen Draw USV 1960 Berndorf

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Strasswalchen 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWLW

USV 1960 Berndorf 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLLLLW

Head-to-head

SV Strasswalchen 0–1 USV 1960 Berndorf (1 last)

SV Strasswalchen1-2USV 1960 Berndorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Strasswalchen 1600 · USV 1960 Berndorf 1460

	SV Strasswalchen	Draw	USV 1960 Berndorf
Our model	64%	18%	18%
Market	64%	18%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 4.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Strasswalchen (rating 1600 vs 1460).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Strasswalchen	USV 1960 Berndorf
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.1	2.1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.1	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	90/10/0%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	5 / 6.5	2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X5.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:29 +87’	1.40	5.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Strasswalchen 0–0–1 USV 1960 Berndorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/09/16 Austria Landesliga	SV Strasswalchen	1-2 HT 1-0	USV 1960 Berndorf

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	7	6	1	0	19	2	19
2	Red Star Penzing	7	6	1	0	17	5	19
3	LAC Inter	7	5	0	2	16	12	15
4	TWL Elektra	7	5	0	2	13	9	15
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	7	4	1	2	12	8	13
6	SV Schwechat	7	4	0	3	14	10	12
7	Helfort 15	6	2	2	2	12	7	8
8	Slovan HAC	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
9	First Vienna II	7	2	1	4	14	18	7
10	FC 1980 Wien	7	2	1	4	7	17	7
11	FV Austria XIII	7	1	3	3	8	10	6
12	WAF Brigittenau	5	2	0	3	7	12	6
13	Post SV	7	1	2	4	13	10	5
14	Hellas Kagran	7	1	2	4	10	16	5
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	6	1	2	3	8	15	5
16	Simmeringer SC	7	1	0	6	3	20	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Strasswalchen	USV 1960 Berndorf
Seekirchen II	2-0 W	0-4 L
Puch	0-1 L	1-5 L
SV Schwarzach	4-0 W	2-3 L
TSU Bramberg	2-1 W	5-1 W
Union Henndorf	6-4 W	1-1 D
USC Eugendorf	3-2 W	3-0 W
Salzburger AK	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SV Strasswalchen (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Strasswalchen

WWWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
25/09	Puch Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/09	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
13/09	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
04/09	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	4-0	6-4	–	–	W
30/08	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
14/08	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
11/08	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/08	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
11/06	SV Hallwang Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-2	13	5	W

USV 1960 Berndorf

LLWDWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
25/09	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	2-4	3-5	–	–	L
19/09	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-4	–	–	L
11/09	Puch Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-5	3	2	L
04/09	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
28/08	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
21/08	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/08	UFV Thalgau Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
07/08	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Strasswalchen vs USV 1960 Berndorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Strasswalchen win (64%). Probabilities: SV Strasswalchen 64%, draw 18%, USV 1960 Berndorf 18%.

How many goals are expected in SV Strasswalchen vs USV 1960 Berndorf?

The model expects 4.19 goals (SV Strasswalchen 2.74 · USV 1960 Berndorf 1.45), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Strasswalchen vs USV 1960 Berndorf?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.