Football · Austria Landesliga · 05/09, 14:00

Prediction: UFV Thalgau vs USK Anif

Team pages: UFV Thalgau · USK Anif

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

UFV Thalgau1.79

USK Anif2.29

1X2

30% 21% 49%

UFV Thalgau Draw USK Anif

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

UFV Thalgau 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLWDL

USK Anif 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

UFV Thalgau 2–2–1 USK Anif (5 last)

USK Anif1-1UFV Thalgau
UFV Thalgau3-2USK Anif
UFV Thalgau3-2USK Anif
UFV Thalgau2-3USK Anif
USK Anif2-2UFV Thalgau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UFV Thalgau 1464 · USK Anif 1563

	UFV Thalgau	Draw	USK Anif
Our model	30%	21%	49%
Market	30%	21%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USK Anif (rating 1464 vs 1563).
H2H favours UFV Thalgau: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UFV Thalgau	USK Anif
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.7	2.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2	2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.33

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 1.6 · xG: 4.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
02:53 +5’	3.00	4.33	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UFV Thalgau 2–2–1 USK Anif

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Austria Landesliga	USK Anif	1-1 HT 1-1	UFV Thalgau
02/08/25 Austria Landesliga	UFV Thalgau	3-2 HT 2-1	USK Anif
26/04/25 Austria Landesliga	UFV Thalgau	3-2 HT 1-1	USK Anif
30/03/24 Austria Landesliga	UFV Thalgau	2-3 HT 1-1	USK Anif
15/08/23 Austria Landesliga	USK Anif	2-2 HT 1-2	UFV Thalgau

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	LAC Inter	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
1	Team Wiener Linien	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	Red Star Penzing	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	Sportunion Mauer	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	Helfort 15	2	1	0	1	8	2	3
7	SV Schwechat	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
9	FC 1980 Wien	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Post SV	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
11	Hellas Kagran	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
12	FV Austria XIII	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
12	Slovan HAC	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
14	WAF Brigittenau	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	First Vienna II	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
16	Simmeringer SC	2	0	0	2	2	10	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UFV Thalgau	USK Anif
SV Burmoos	0-2 L	1-2 L
OTSU Hallein	1-5 L	3-8 L
TSU Bramberg	3-4 L	4-1 W
Union Henndorf	2-1 W	2-2 D
SV Hallwang	9-1 W	3-2 W
SV Anthering	3-6 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UFV Thalgau

LWWLLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
15/08	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	USV 1960 Berndorf Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
12/06	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
06/06	OTSU Hallein Austria Landesliga	1-4	1-5	0	5	L
03/06	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	0-2	3-4	–	–	L
29/05	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
22/05	SV Hallwang Austria Landesliga	5-0	9-1	–	–	W
14/05	SV Anthering Austria Landesliga	2-4	3-6	–	–	L

USK Anif

WWDWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/08	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	2-2	4-3	–	–	W
16/08	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
11/08	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
08/08	SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
13/06	OTSU Hallein Austria Landesliga	1-4	3-8	–	–	L
07/06	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	2-1	4-1	3	4	W
03/06	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/05	SV Hallwang Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
22/05	SV Anthering Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UFV Thalgau vs USK Anif?

According to our model, the most likely result is an USK Anif win (49%). Probabilities: UFV Thalgau 30%, draw 21%, USK Anif 49%.

How many goals are expected in UFV Thalgau vs USK Anif?

The model expects 4.08 goals (UFV Thalgau 1.79 · USK Anif 2.29), with a 58% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UFV Thalgau vs USK Anif?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.