Football · Austria Landesliga · 13/09, 11:00

Prediction: SV Burmoos vs Union Henndorf

Team pages: SV Burmoos · Union Henndorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

SV Burmoos2.52

Union Henndorf1.25

1X2

64% 20% 16%

SV Burmoos Draw Union Henndorf

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Burmoos 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWWWWW

Union Henndorf 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLLDWL

Head-to-head

SV Burmoos 1–1–0 Union Henndorf (2 last)

Union Henndorf1-1SV Burmoos
SV Burmoos3-1Union Henndorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Burmoos 1616 · Union Henndorf 1459

	SV Burmoos	Draw	Union Henndorf
Our model	64%	19%	17%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Burmoos (rating 1616 vs 1459).
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Burmoos	Union Henndorf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.4	1.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.2	2 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:04 +2’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Burmoos 1–1–0 Union Henndorf

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Austria Landesliga	Union Henndorf	1-1 HT 1-1	SV Burmoos
09/11/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Burmoos	3-1 HT 1-0	Union Henndorf

Standings · Austria Landesliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Red Star Penzing	4	4	0	0	8	2	12
2	TWL Elektra	3	3	0	0	8	3	9
3	Floridsdorfer AC II	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
4	Sportunion Mauer	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
5	SV Schwechat	3	2	0	1	8	3	6
6	LAC Inter	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
7	FV Austria XIII	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
8	Post SV	3	1	1	1	10	4	4
8	Helfort 15	3	1	1	1	10	4	4
10	WAF Brigittenau	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
11	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
12	FC 1980 Wien	3	1	0	2	3	10	3
13	Slovan HAC	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
14	Hellas Kagran	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
15	First Vienna II	3	0	0	3	3	7	0
16	Simmeringer SC	4	0	0	4	2	16	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Burmoos	Union Henndorf
UFV Thalgau	2-0 W	1-2 L
USK Anif	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SV Burmoos (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Burmoos

DWWDWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	UFV Thalgau Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
21/08	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
12/08	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
08/08	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/06	SV Hallwang Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-0	7	2	W
03/06	SV Anthering Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-1	5	0	W
31/05	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

Union Henndorf

LDLDWLLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga	0-4	4-6	–	–	L
29/08	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-2	4	6	W
21/08	USV 1960 Berndorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Puch Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
06/06	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
03/06	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
29/05	UFV Thalgau Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-2	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Burmoos vs Union Henndorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Burmoos win (64%). Probabilities: SV Burmoos 64%, draw 20%, Union Henndorf 16%.

How many goals are expected in SV Burmoos vs Union Henndorf?

The model expects 3.77 goals (SV Burmoos 2.52 · Union Henndorf 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Burmoos vs Union Henndorf?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.