Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 16/10, 17:30
Prediction: MFK Karvina vs Dukla Praha
Team pages: MFK Karvina · Dukla Praha
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
MFK Karvina2
Dukla Praha1.24
1X2
MFK Karvina
Draw
Dukla Praha
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Karvina
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Dukla Praha
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MFK Karvina
4–2–0
Dukla Praha
(6 last)
- Dukla Praha1-2MFK Karvina
- MFK Karvina2-0Dukla Praha
- Dukla Praha0-0MFK Karvina
- MFK Karvina0-0Dukla Praha
- Dukla Praha0-3MFK Karvina
- MFK Karvina5-0Dukla Praha
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MFK Karvina 1575 · Dukla Praha 1550
| MFK Karvina | Draw | Dukla Praha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours MFK Karvina: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MFK Karvina | Dukla Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.7 | 3.4 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina 4–2–0 Dukla Praha
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Czechia First League | Dukla Praha | 1-2 HT 0-2 | MFK Karvina |
| 19/07/25 Czechia First League | MFK Karvina | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dukla Praha |
| 12/03/25 Czechia First League | Dukla Praha | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MFK Karvina |
| 01/09/24 Czechia First League | MFK Karvina | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dukla Praha |
| 13/05/23 Czechia 2. Liga | Dukla Praha | 0-3 HT 0-1 | MFK Karvina |
| 22/10/22 Czechia 2. Liga | MFK Karvina | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Dukla Praha |
Standings · Czechia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MFK Karvina | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Dukla Praha | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | FK Usti nad Labem | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | FK Pribram | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Vysocina Jihlava | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 15 |
| 7 | SK Kladno | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Silon Taborsko | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Viktoria Zizkov | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 13 |
| 10 | Opava | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
| 11 | Slavia Prague B | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Banik Ostrava B | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 11 |
| 13 | SK Prostejov | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 14 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
| 15 | Trinec | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MFK Karvina | Dukla Praha |
|---|---|---|
| FC Silon Taborsko | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Arsenal Ceska Lipa | 5-2 W | 2-0 W |
| SK Prostejov | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Opava | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MFK Karvina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Trinec Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Pribram Czechia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga |
3-2 | 5-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Opava Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
Dukla Praha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Opava Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina vs Dukla Praha?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Karvina win (54%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina 54%, draw 24%, Dukla Praha 22%.
How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina vs Dukla Praha?
The model expects 3.24 goals (MFK Karvina 2 · Dukla Praha 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in MFK Karvina vs Dukla Praha?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.