Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 23/10, 18:00

Prediction: Dukla Praha vs SK Kladno

Team pages: Dukla Praha · SK Kladno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Dukla Praha2.12

SK Kladno1.22

1X2

57% 23% 20%

Dukla Praha Draw SK Kladno

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Dukla Praha 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWWDWL

SK Kladno 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLDDWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dukla Praha 1525 · SK Kladno 1504

	Dukla Praha	Draw	SK Kladno
Our model	57%	22%	20%
Market	56%	24%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dukla Praha	SK Kladno
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.4	2.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.70

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:33 +6’	1.57	3.70	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	11	8	0	3	23	12	24
2	Dukla Praha	11	6	2	3	21	18	20
3	Vysocina Jihlava	11	6	2	3	19	12	20
4	FK Usti nad Labem	11	5	4	2	19	13	19
5	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	11	5	3	3	20	14	18
6	FK Pribram	11	4	5	2	20	18	17
7	FC Silon Taborsko	11	3	5	3	15	15	14
8	Banik Ostrava B	11	4	2	5	19	16	14
9	Viktoria Zizkov	11	4	2	5	12	19	14
10	Opava	11	3	4	4	17	20	13
11	Slavia Prague B	11	3	4	4	20	19	13
12	SK Kladno	11	3	4	4	16	17	13
13	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	11	3	3	5	14	20	12
14	SK Prostejov	11	1	7	3	15	16	10
15	Trinec	11	2	4	5	13	20	10
16	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	11	1	3	7	9	23	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dukla Praha	SK Kladno
MFK Karvina	0-3 L	0-2 L
Banik Ostrava B	3-2 W	1-0 W
SK Prostejov	2-2 D	1-3 L
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	3-1 W	1-1 D
Opava	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Silon Taborsko	2-2 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dukla Praha (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dukla Praha

DWLLWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	0-3	9	0	L
12/10	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
18/09	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	9	5	D
11/09	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	12	4	W
05/09	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
28/08	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
21/08	FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
14/08	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
07/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
31/07	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	3	D

SK Kladno

WDDLWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	2-3	12	7	L
10/10	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
20/09	FK Pribram Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	2-2	3	0	D
11/09	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	3-1	3-3	2	7	D
04/09	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
30/08	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	3-0	1	2	W
21/08	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
14/08	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
07/08	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
31/07	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dukla Praha vs SK Kladno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dukla Praha win (57%). Probabilities: Dukla Praha 57%, draw 23%, SK Kladno 20%.

How many goals are expected in Dukla Praha vs SK Kladno?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Dukla Praha 2.12 · SK Kladno 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dukla Praha vs SK Kladno?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.