Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs FK Pribram

Team pages: Arsenal Ceska Lipa · FK Pribram

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Arsenal Ceska Lipa1.68

FK Pribram1.65

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Arsenal Ceska Lipa Draw FK Pribram

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Arsenal Ceska Lipa 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLDLLW

FK Pribram 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWDLDWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arsenal Ceska Lipa 1465 · FK Pribram 1492

	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	Draw	FK Pribram
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	37%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	FK Pribram
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.4	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.30

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
21:52 +6’	2.40	3.30	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	11	8	0	3	23	12	24
2	Dukla Praha	11	6	2	3	21	18	20
3	Vysocina Jihlava	11	6	2	3	19	12	20
4	FK Usti nad Labem	11	5	4	2	19	13	19
5	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	11	5	3	3	20	14	18
6	FK Pribram	11	4	5	2	20	18	17
7	FC Silon Taborsko	11	3	5	3	15	15	14
8	Banik Ostrava B	11	4	2	5	19	16	14
9	Viktoria Zizkov	11	4	2	5	12	19	14
10	Opava	11	3	4	4	17	20	13
11	Slavia Prague B	11	3	4	4	20	19	13
12	SK Kladno	11	3	4	4	16	17	13
13	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	11	3	3	5	14	20	12
14	SK Prostejov	11	1	7	3	15	16	10
15	Trinec	11	2	4	5	13	20	10
16	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	11	1	3	7	9	23	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	FK Pribram
SK Kladno	3-2 W	2-2 D
Viktoria Zizkov	1-2 L	1-1 D
Opava	1-2 L	1-0 W
SK Prostejov	0-0 D	2-2 D
Vysocina Jihlava	0-2 L	2-1 W
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	2-1 W	2-2 D
Banik Ostrava B	1-0 W	1-3 L
MFK Karvina	2-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Pribram (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arsenal Ceska Lipa

DDLWWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	3-2	1	7	W
10/10	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	6	3	L
18/09	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	4	3	L
12/09	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
04/09	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
29/08	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
23/08	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
15/08	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	2-3	2-5	2	3	L
07/08	FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga	0-3	3-3	5	6	D
02/08	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

FK Pribram

WWDDWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
10/10	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	1	4	W
20/09	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	2-2	6	0	D
11/09	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
29/08	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
21/08	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	5	6	D
15/08	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	10	6	D
07/08	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
31/07	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs FK Pribram?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal Ceska Lipa win (38%). Probabilities: Arsenal Ceska Lipa 38%, draw 26%, FK Pribram 36%.

How many goals are expected in Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs FK Pribram?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Arsenal Ceska Lipa 1.68 · FK Pribram 1.65), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs FK Pribram?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.