Football · Mongolia Premier League · 06/07, 09:00

Prediction: Khangarid Klub vs Central Stallions

Expected goals: 3.85 (Khangarid Klub 2.12 · Central Stallions 1.73). The model gives 47% home, 22% draw, 32% away. Under 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Khangarid Klub sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Central Stallions arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Khangarid Klub and 1 for Central Stallions, with 2 draws.

47%1
47% 22% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khangarid Klub 1479 · Central Stallions 1502
Khangarid KlubDrawCentral Stallions
Our model46%22%31%
Market47%21%32%
Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.85Khangarid Klub 2.12 · Central Stallions 1.73
Over / Under 3.75Under 3.75 · 52%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Khangarid Klub: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Khangarid KlubCentral Stallions
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 22 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.91.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.82.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.32.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Khangarid Klub 321 Central Stallions

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/06/26
Mongolia Premier League
Central Stallions2-2
HT 2-0
Khangarid Klub
21/05/26
Mongolia Premier League
Khangarid Klub1-1
HT 0-1
Central Stallions
19/10/25
Mongolia Premier League
Central Stallions2-1
HT 1-0
Khangarid Klub
22/06/25
Mongolia Premier League
Central Stallions2-4
HT 2-2
Khangarid Klub
29/03/25
Mongolia Premier League
Khangarid Klub5-1
HT 3-1
Central Stallions
13/09/24
Mongolia Premier League
Central Stallions0-4Khangarid Klub

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKhangarid KlubCentral Stallions
FC Ulaanbaatar 3-4 L 3-2 W
Deren FC 1-2 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khangarid Klub

WLDWWLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
1-2 3-4 52 L
30/06 Deren FC
Mongolia Premier League
1-1 1-2 34 L
27/06 Central Stallions
Mongolia Premier League
0-2 2-2 44 D
24/06 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-0 1-3 48 L
21/06 Deren FC
Mongolia Premier League
1-1 2-3 53 L
18/06 Khovd Western
Mongolia Premier League
2-0 2-1 56 W
24/05 Khovd FC
Mongolia Premier League
0-0 6-0 85 W
21/05 Central Stallions
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 1-1 57 D
17/05 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 1-3 46 L
09/05 Deren FC
Mongolia Premier League
1-1 2-1 54 W

Central Stallions

WDLWWLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Deren FC
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 0-3 53 L
30/06 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
3-0 3-2 23 W
27/06 Khangarid Klub
Mongolia Premier League
2-0 2-2 54 D
24/06 Deren FC
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 0-2 50 L
21/06 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-2 0-3 11 L
17/06 FC Ulaanbaatar
Mongolia Premier League
0-0 1-0 74 W
14/06 Deren FC
Mongolia Premier League
1-0 2-1 23 W
24/05 Hunters FC
Mongolia Premier League
0-1 1-3 81 L
21/05 Khangarid Klub
Mongolia Premier League
1-0 1-1 47 D
16/05 Ulaangom City FC
Mongolia Premier League
6-0 10-0 101 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khangarid Klub vs Central Stallions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Khangarid Klub win (47%). Probabilities: Khangarid Klub 47%, draw 22%, Central Stallions 32%.

How many goals are expected in Khangarid Klub vs Central Stallions?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Khangarid Klub 2.12 · Central Stallions 1.73), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Khangarid Klub vs Central Stallions?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.