Prediction: Khangarid Klub vs FC Ulaanbaatar
Expected goals: 3.65 (Khangarid Klub 1.19 · FC Ulaanbaatar 2.47). The model gives 16% home, 20% draw, 64% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, Khangarid Klub is 4-2-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Ulaanbaatar 8-0-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Khangarid Klub and 4 for FC Ulaanbaatar, with 1 draw.
| Khangarid Klub | Draw | FC Ulaanbaatar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| Market | 16% | 20% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ulaanbaatar (rating 1501 vs 1596).
- H2H favours FC Ulaanbaatar: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Khangarid Klub | FC Ulaanbaatar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 3.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Khangarid Klub 1–1–4 FC Ulaanbaatar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Mongolia Premier League | FC Ulaanbaatar | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Khangarid Klub |
| 17/05/26 Mongolia Premier League | FC Ulaanbaatar | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Khangarid Klub |
| 14/10/25 Mongolia Premier League | Khangarid Klub | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
| 19/06/25 Mongolia Premier League | Khangarid Klub | 6-2 HT 3-2 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
| 22/03/25 Mongolia Premier League | FC Ulaanbaatar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Khangarid Klub |
| 25/08/24 Mongolia Premier League | Khangarid Klub | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Khangarid Klub | FC Ulaanbaatar |
|---|---|---|
| Deren FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Central Stallions | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Hunters FC | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Ulaanbaatar (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khangarid Klub
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/06 | FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 21/06 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
FC Ulaanbaatar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 21/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
6-0 | 7-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
6-1 | 7-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khangarid Klub vs FC Ulaanbaatar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Ulaanbaatar win (64%). Probabilities: Khangarid Klub 16%, draw 20%, FC Ulaanbaatar 64%.
How many goals are expected in Khangarid Klub vs FC Ulaanbaatar?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Khangarid Klub 1.19 · FC Ulaanbaatar 2.47), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Khangarid Klub vs FC Ulaanbaatar?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.