Football · Austria Landesliga · 09/10, 19:00

Prediction: UFC Fehring vs Ilzer SV

Team pages: UFC Fehring · Ilzer SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

UFC Fehring1.46

Ilzer SV2.07

1X2

26% 23% 51%

UFC Fehring Draw Ilzer SV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

UFC Fehring 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWWDL

Ilzer SV 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWLDWW

Head-to-head

UFC Fehring 0–2–4 Ilzer SV (6 last)

UFC Fehring3-3Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV3-0UFC Fehring
UFC Fehring1-1Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV4-0UFC Fehring
UFC Fehring1-4Ilzer SV
UFC Fehring0-1Ilzer SV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UFC Fehring 1474 · Ilzer SV 1588

	UFC Fehring	Draw	Ilzer SV
Our model	26%	23%	51%
Market	26%	22%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilzer SV (rating 1474 vs 1588).
H2H favours Ilzer SV: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UFC Fehring	Ilzer SV
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	2.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/78/11%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.3	3.3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.5	5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:48 +11’	3.40	4.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UFC Fehring 0–2–4 Ilzer SV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Landesliga	UFC Fehring	3-3 HT 0-1	Ilzer SV
05/09/25 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	3-0 HT 2-0	UFC Fehring
21/03/25 Austria Landesliga	UFC Fehring	1-1 HT 0-1	Ilzer SV
16/08/24 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	4-0 HT 1-0	UFC Fehring
13/08/24 Austria Amateur Cup	UFC Fehring	1-4 HT 0-2	Ilzer SV
29/03/24 Austria Landesliga	UFC Fehring	0-1 HT 0-0	Ilzer SV

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	7	6	1	0	19	2	19
2	Red Star Penzing	7	6	1	0	17	5	19
3	LAC Inter	7	5	0	2	16	12	15
4	TWL Elektra	7	5	0	2	13	9	15
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	7	4	1	2	12	8	13
6	SV Schwechat	7	4	0	3	14	10	12
7	Helfort 15	6	2	2	2	12	7	8
8	Slovan HAC	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
9	First Vienna II	7	2	1	4	14	18	7
10	FC 1980 Wien	7	2	1	4	7	17	7
11	FV Austria XIII	7	1	3	3	8	10	6
12	WAF Brigittenau	5	2	0	3	7	12	6
13	Post SV	7	1	2	4	13	10	5
14	Hellas Kagran	7	1	2	4	10	16	5
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	6	1	2	3	8	15	5
16	Simmeringer SC	7	1	0	6	3	20	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UFC Fehring	Ilzer SV
SV Lebring	1-4 L	2-2 D
SV Pachern	1-1 D	1-2 L
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	2-1 W	4-1 W
Grossklein	2-0 W	0-0 D
SC Bruck an der Mur	1-3 L	5-2 W
ASK Koflach	0-1 L	1-0 W
USV Gnas	0-3 L	2-1 W
SC Fürstenfeld	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ilzer SV (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UFC Fehring

WLDLLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
25/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
20/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
15/09	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
11/09	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
04/09	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
28/08	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	–	0-3	–	–	L
21/08	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/06	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	4	6	W

Ilzer SV

WWWWDWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	4-1	6-4	–	–	W
26/09	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-1	7	6	W
19/09	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-2	1	4	D
15/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	8	10	L
11/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
04/09	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
28/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-1	5-2	–	–	W
22/08	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	10	2	W
05/06	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UFC Fehring vs Ilzer SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ilzer SV win (51%). Probabilities: UFC Fehring 26%, draw 23%, Ilzer SV 51%.

How many goals are expected in UFC Fehring vs Ilzer SV?

The model expects 3.53 goals (UFC Fehring 1.46 · Ilzer SV 2.07), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UFC Fehring vs Ilzer SV?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.