Football · Austria Landesliga · 15/09, 19:30

Prediction: Ilzer SV vs SV Pachern

Team pages: Ilzer SV · SV Pachern

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Ilzer SV2.76

SV Pachern0.76

1X2

80% 14% 7%

Ilzer SV Draw SV Pachern

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Ilzer SV 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWWWDW

SV Pachern 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLLWW

Head-to-head

Ilzer SV 4–1–0 SV Pachern (5 last)

SV Pachern0-2Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV2-0SV Pachern
Ilzer SV2-0SV Pachern
SV Pachern1-4Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV3-3SV Pachern

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ilzer SV 1602 · SV Pachern 1435

	Ilzer SV	Draw	SV Pachern
Our model	78%	15%	7%
Market	81%	13%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilzer SV (rating 1602 vs 1435).
H2H favours Ilzer SV: 4-1-0.
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ilzer SV	SV Pachern
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	0.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	5.3 / 8.3	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.13

X7.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.82

2 (+2.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Pinn 1.23 ★
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.8% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +4’	1.13	7.00	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:45 +18’	1.23	4.33	11.52
11:03	1.23▼	4.42▲	11.79▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilzer SV 4–1–0 SV Pachern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Pachern	0-2 HT 0-1	Ilzer SV
31/10/25 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	2-0 HT 1-0	SV Pachern
21/07/23 Europe Friendlies	Ilzer SV	2-0 HT 0-0	SV Pachern
13/02/23 Europe Friendlies	SV Pachern	1-4 HT 0-3	Ilzer SV
21/07/18 Europe Friendlies	Ilzer SV	3-3 HT 1-1	SV Pachern

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TWL Elektra	4	4	0	0	10	3	12
2	Red Star Penzing	4	4	0	0	8	2	12
3	SV Schwechat	4	3	0	1	9	3	9
4	LAC Inter	4	3	0	1	9	7	9
5	Sportunion Mauer	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
7	FV Austria XIII	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
8	Post SV	4	1	1	2	12	7	4
9	Helfort 15	4	1	1	2	10	6	4
10	Slovan HAC	4	1	1	2	6	5	4
11	First Vienna II	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
12	WAF Brigittenau	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
13	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
14	FC 1980 Wien	4	1	0	3	3	11	3
15	Hellas Kagran	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
16	Simmeringer SC	4	0	0	4	2	16	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ilzer SV	SV Pachern
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	4-1 W	0-1 L
Grossklein	0-0 D	1-3 L
SC Bruck an der Mur	5-2 W	0-5 L
FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ilzer SV (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ilzer SV

DLLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
04/09	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
28/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-1	5-2	–	–	W
22/08	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	10	2	W
05/06	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
29/05	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
21/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	10	4	L
15/05	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-3	3-3	–	–	D

SV Pachern

LLLLDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
04/09	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
28/08	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
21/08	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
14/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	12	5	L
05/06	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/05	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
22/05	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-3	2	3	L
13/05	FC Gamlitz Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	7	6	L
08/05	SV Tillmitsch Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilzer SV vs SV Pachern?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ilzer SV win (80%). Probabilities: Ilzer SV 80%, draw 14%, SV Pachern 7%.

How many goals are expected in Ilzer SV vs SV Pachern?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Ilzer SV 2.76 · SV Pachern 0.76), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ilzer SV vs SV Pachern?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.