Football · Austria Landesliga · 25/09, 19:00

Prediction: UFC Fehring vs SV Pachern

Team pages: UFC Fehring · SV Pachern

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

UFC Fehring1.76

SV Pachern1.34

1X2

47% 25% 29%

UFC Fehring Draw SV Pachern

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

UFC Fehring 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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SV Pachern 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

UFC Fehring 1–2 SV Pachern (3 last)

UFC Fehring2-1SV Pachern
SV Pachern6-2UFC Fehring
SV Pachern6-2UFC Fehring

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UFC Fehring 1473 · SV Pachern 1500

	UFC Fehring	Draw	SV Pachern
Our model	46%	25%	28%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Pachern: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UFC Fehring	SV Pachern
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/63/13%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 2.8	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.5	4.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:53 +12’	1.91	3.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UFC Fehring 1–0–2 SV Pachern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Austria Landesliga	UFC Fehring	2-1 HT 1-0	SV Pachern
03/10/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Pachern	6-2 HT 2-0	UFC Fehring
07/02/20 Europe Friendlies	SV Pachern	6-2 HT 3-1	UFC Fehring

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Red Star Penzing	5	5	0	0	13	4	15
2	TWL Elektra	5	5	0	0	12	4	15
3	Sportunion Mauer	5	4	1	0	10	1	13
4	SV Schwechat	5	3	0	2	11	8	9
5	LAC Inter	5	3	0	2	11	12	9
6	Helfort 15	5	2	1	2	11	6	7
7	Floridsdorfer AC II	5	2	1	2	8	6	7
8	First Vienna II	5	2	0	3	11	11	6
9	WAF Brigittenau	4	2	0	2	7	8	6
10	Post SV	5	1	2	2	13	8	5
11	Slovan HAC	5	1	2	2	7	6	5
12	FV Austria XIII	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	Hellas Kagran	5	1	1	3	6	11	4
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	4	1	0	3	5	12	3
15	FC 1980 Wien	5	1	0	4	3	14	3
16	Simmeringer SC	5	0	0	5	2	18	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UFC Fehring	SV Pachern
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	2-1 W	0-1 L
Grossklein	2-0 W	1-3 L
SC Bruck an der Mur	1-3 L	0-5 L
SC Fürstenfeld	2-1 W	2-0 W
SV Lebring	2-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UFC Fehring (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UFC Fehring

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
15/09	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
11/09	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
04/09	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
28/08	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	–	0-3	–	–	L
21/08	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	–	1-2	–	–	L
05/06	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
29/05	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-4	4	3	L
22/05	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

SV Pachern

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
15/09	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	3	10	W
11/09	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
04/09	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
28/08	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
21/08	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
14/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	12	5	L
05/06	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/05	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
22/05	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-3	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UFC Fehring vs SV Pachern?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UFC Fehring win (47%). Probabilities: UFC Fehring 47%, draw 25%, SV Pachern 29%.

How many goals are expected in UFC Fehring vs SV Pachern?

The model expects 3.1 goals (UFC Fehring 1.76 · SV Pachern 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UFC Fehring vs SV Pachern?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.