Football · Austria Landesliga · 25/09, 17:00

Prediction: KAC 1909 vs SV Spittal/Drau

Team pages: KAC 1909 · SV Spittal/Drau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

KAC 19092.31

SV Spittal/Drau1.4

1X2

57% 21% 22%

KAC 1909 Draw SV Spittal/Drau

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

KAC 1909 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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SV Spittal/Drau 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KAC 1909 2–1–3 SV Spittal/Drau (6 last)

SV Spittal/Drau4-1KAC 1909
KAC 19091-2SV Spittal/Drau
SV Spittal/Drau1-2KAC 1909
KAC 19092-1SV Spittal/Drau
KAC 19090-0SV Spittal/Drau
SV Spittal/Drau2-1KAC 1909

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KAC 1909 1509 · SV Spittal/Drau 1488

	KAC 1909	Draw	SV Spittal/Drau
Our model	57%	21%	22%
Market	57%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Spittal/Drau: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KAC 1909	SV Spittal/Drau
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.3	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:03 +3’	1.57	4.20	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KAC 1909 2–1–3 SV Spittal/Drau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Spittal/Drau	4-1 HT 1-1	KAC 1909
02/11/25 Austria Landesliga	KAC 1909	1-2 HT 0-2	SV Spittal/Drau
02/05/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Spittal/Drau	1-2 HT 0-0	KAC 1909
27/09/24 Austria Landesliga	KAC 1909	2-1 HT 2-1	SV Spittal/Drau
29/10/22 Austria Landesliga	KAC 1909	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Spittal/Drau
03/05/19 Austria Landesliga	SV Spittal/Drau	2-1 HT 1-1	KAC 1909

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Red Star Penzing	5	5	0	0	13	4	15
2	TWL Elektra	5	5	0	0	12	4	15
3	Sportunion Mauer	5	4	1	0	10	1	13
4	SV Schwechat	5	3	0	2	11	8	9
5	LAC Inter	5	3	0	2	11	12	9
6	Helfort 15	5	2	1	2	11	6	7
7	Floridsdorfer AC II	5	2	1	2	8	6	7
8	First Vienna II	5	2	0	3	11	11	6
9	WAF Brigittenau	4	2	0	2	7	8	6
10	Post SV	5	1	2	2	13	8	5
11	Slovan HAC	5	1	2	2	7	6	5
12	FV Austria XIII	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	Hellas Kagran	5	1	1	3	6	11	4
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	4	1	0	3	5	12	3
15	FC 1980 Wien	5	1	0	4	3	14	3
16	Simmeringer SC	5	0	0	5	2	18	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KAC 1909	SV Spittal/Drau
Sirnitz	2-3 L	1-2 L
ATUS Ferlach	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KAC 1909 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KAC 1909

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-3	–	–	L
11/09	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-1	1	5	W
28/08	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	0-0	4-0	5	2	W
22/08	St.Michael/Lavanttal Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	6-0	4	1	W
08/08	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
31/07	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
03/06	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-4	4	0	L
29/05	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L

SV Spittal/Drau

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	SV Seeboden Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-2	–	–	W
04/09	Launsdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
29/08	SC Landskron Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
21/08	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/08	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
07/08	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
31/07	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/06	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-1	7	0	W
29/05	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KAC 1909 vs SV Spittal/Drau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KAC 1909 win (57%). Probabilities: KAC 1909 57%, draw 21%, SV Spittal/Drau 22%.

How many goals are expected in KAC 1909 vs SV Spittal/Drau?

The model expects 3.71 goals (KAC 1909 2.31 · SV Spittal/Drau 1.4), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KAC 1909 vs SV Spittal/Drau?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.